The Cactus Farm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (16 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 34
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1011 | 55% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1073 | 1067 | 51% | 2024-09-20 | Won |
| 989 | 1020 | 46% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1226 | 23% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1201 | 38% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1235 | 1068 | 72% | 2011-09-22 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1137 | 44% | 2009-08-06 | Won |
| 1103 | 1053 | 57% | 2009-05-07 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1023 | 64% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1068 | 969 | 64% | 2003-06-28 | Won |
| 969 | 1068 | 36% | 2003-06-05 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1197 | 45% | 2002-05-04 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1064 vs 1066.4 has a 49.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).