The Cactus Farm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (15 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 31
Defender wins (German): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 1048 | 49% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 1064 | 1068 | 49% | 2024-09-20 | Won |
| 982 | 1020 | 45% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 946 | 1277 | 13% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1226 | 26% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1186 | 40% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2011-09-22 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1136 | 37% | 2009-08-06 | Won |
| 1086 | 1052 | 55% | 2009-05-07 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1013 | 63% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
| 1050 | 969 | 61% | 2003-06-28 | Won |
| 969 | 1050 | 39% | 2003-06-05 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1195 | 39% | 2002-05-04 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1053.8 vs 1083.3 has a 45.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).