Dress Rehearsal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German (SS)): 23
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2025-11-19 | Won |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 2024-11-15 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 1145 | 945 | 76% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
| 1225 | 987 | 80% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 746 | 1225 | 6% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1263 | 39% | 2021-09-19 | Lost |
| 998 | 1226 | 21% | 2020-10-02 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1102 | 53% | 2020-06-19 | Won |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 853 | 885 | 45% | 2020-04-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 972 | 74% | 2020-03-13 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1055 | 49% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 940 | 917 | 53% | 2019-05-05 | Lost |
| 1060 | 928 | 68% | 2016-08-23 | Won |
| 986 | 1135 | 30% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2013-06-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1108 | 52% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 981 | 1231 | 19% | 2009-11-29 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1208 | 33% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1070 | 72% | 2008-07-22 | Lost |
| 997 | 1233 | 20% | 2007-05-13 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1034 | 53% | 2006-10-07 | Won |
| 1150 | 1113 | 55% | 2006-08-10 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1087 | 46% | 2004-01-09 | Lost |
| 1140 | 980 | 72% | 2002-10-12 | Won |
| 961 | 1096 | 31% | 2002-09-14 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1065 | 44% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1342 | 1099 | 80% | 2001-10-26 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1060.3 vs 1072.3 has a 48.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).