Setting the Stage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1108 | 978 | 68% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1108 | 1029 | 61% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 994 | 1061 | 40% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1008 | 50% | 2023-11-02 | Lost |
| 964 | 957 | 51% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1204 | 1145 | 58% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
| 1266 | 1165 | 64% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 1029 | 991 | 55% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 991 | 1232 | 20% | 2022-12-16 | Lost |
| 1218 | 873 | 88% | 2022-09-22 | Won |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2022-09-11 | Won |
| 1218 | 873 | 88% | 2022-09-02 | Won |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 951 | 785 | 72% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1232 | 22% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1223 | 951 | 83% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 980 | 853 | 68% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 913 | 903 | 51% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1120 | 37% | 2015-05-02 | Won |
| 1061 | 1203 | 31% | 2015-03-10 | Lost |
| 1135 | 983 | 71% | 2015-01-09 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 987 | 57% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1044 | 46% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1125 | 48% | 2012-03-01 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1009 | 68% | 2012-02-20 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1081 | 59% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1309 | 977 | 87% | 2008-01-12 | Won |
| 1124 | 1204 | 39% | 2007-01-06 | Won |
| 915 | 1209 | 16% | 2006-09-22 | Won |
| 986 | 1048 | 41% | 2004-03-08 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1086 | 66% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
| 981 | 1097 | 34% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1080.9 vs 1040.9 has a 55.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).