ASL Scenario Archive

Setting the Stage

Games with no balance used/recorded: 184 (43 on the archive and 142 on ROAR)

Attacker wins (German (SS)): 95

Defender wins (Russian): 89

With balance for the attacker (only):

Games played: 1

Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1

Defender wins (Russian): 0

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Balance	Outcome
1000	1000	50%	2026-03-11		Won
1000	1000	50%	2025-09-16	A	Won
1000	1000	50%	2025-04-11		Won
1000	1000	50%	2024-12-22		Won
1000	1000	50%	2024-12-22		Won
1000	1000	50%	2023-11-14		Lost
1000	1000	50%	2023-11-02		Lost
1000	1000	50%	2023-09-27		Lost
1000	1000	50%	2023-07-09		Won
1000	1000	50%	2023-04-23		Lost
1000	1000	50%	2023-04-22		Lost
1000	1000	50%	2023-04-21		Lost
1000	1000	50%	2022-12-16		Lost
1000	1000	50%	2022-09-22		Won
1000	1000	50%	2022-09-11		Won
1000	1000	50%	2022-09-02		Won
1000	1000	50%	2022-08-14		Lost
1000	1000	50%	2022-08-12		Lost
1000	1000	50%	2022-07-29		Won
1000	1000	50%	2021-09-27		Won
1000	1000	50%	2020-10-16		Won
1000	1000	50%	2020-05-19		Lost
1000	1000	50%	2020-05-05		Won
1000	1000	50%	2018-07-20		Lost
1000	1000	50%	2016-09-16		Won
1000	1000	50%	2015-05-02		Won
1000	1000	50%	2015-03-10		Lost
1000	1000	50%	2015-01-09		Won
1000	1000	50%	2013-06-20		Won
1000	1000	50%	2013-04-27		Lost
1000	1000	50%	2012-03-09		Lost
1000	1000	50%	2012-03-01		Lost
1000	1000	50%	2012-02-20		Lost
1000	1000	50%	2009-09-19		Won
1000	1000	50%	2008-01-12		Won
1000	1000	50%	2007-01-06		Won
1000	1000	50%	2006-09-24		Lost
1000	1000	50%	2006-09-22		Won
1000	1000	50%	2004-03-08		Lost
1000	1000	50%	2004-01-16		Won
1000	1000	50%	2003-06-21		Won
1000	1000	50%	2003-03-01		Won
1000	1000	50%	2003-02-09		Won

Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1000 vs 1000 has a 50% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).