Setting the Stage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2025-09-16 | Won |
| 1043 | 1046 | 50% | 2025-04-11 | Won |
| 1093 | 1030 | 59% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1093 | 1000 | 63% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 994 | 1051 | 42% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 989 | 1010 | 47% | 2023-11-02 | Lost |
| 953 | 968 | 48% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1193 | 1148 | 56% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1165 | 56% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 789 | 1041 | 19% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1256 | 22% | 2022-12-16 | Lost |
| 1203 | 893 | 86% | 2022-09-22 | Won |
| 1123 | 986 | 69% | 2022-09-11 | Won |
| 1203 | 893 | 86% | 2022-09-02 | Won |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 1043 | 762 | 83% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1256 | 26% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1226 | 1043 | 74% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
| 1133 | 971 | 72% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 927 | 854 | 60% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 951 | 922 | 54% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 979 | 1063 | 38% | 2016-09-16 | Won |
| 1028 | 1120 | 37% | 2015-05-02 | Won |
| 741 | 1131 | 10% | 2015-03-10 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1063 | 60% | 2015-01-09 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 986 | 57% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1045 | 46% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1126 | 48% | 2012-03-01 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2012-02-20 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1081 | 59% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1333 | 968 | 89% | 2008-01-12 | Won |
| 1142 | 1193 | 43% | 2007-01-06 | Won |
| 1152 | 1110 | 56% | 2006-09-24 | Lost |
| 910 | 1145 | 21% | 2006-09-22 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2004-03-08 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1063 | 51% | 2004-01-16 | Won |
| 1193 | 1014 | 74% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
| 980 | 1095 | 34% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1063 vs 1049.1 has a 52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).