Setting the Stage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 163 (28 on the archive and 135 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 80
Defender wins (Russian): 83
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
998 | 1087 | 37% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
1058 | 1009 | 57% | 2023-11-02 | Lost |
954 | 954 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
1327 | 1163 | 72% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
1030 | 937 | 63% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
937 | 1153 | 22% | 2022-12-16 | Lost |
1109 | 890 | 78% | 2022-09-22 | Won |
1109 | 890 | 78% | 2022-09-02 | Won |
994 | 1011 | 48% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
1168 | 802 | 89% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
1062 | 1153 | 37% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
1225 | 1168 | 58% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
1198 | 985 | 77% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
977 | 852 | 67% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
1013 | 917 | 63% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
1083 | 1121 | 45% | 2015-05-02 | Won |
950 | 1144 | 25% | 2015-03-10 | Lost |
1135 | 992 | 69% | 2015-01-09 | Won |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
1036 | 988 | 57% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
1019 | 1044 | 46% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
1108 | 1125 | 48% | 2012-03-01 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2012-02-20 | Lost |
1197 | 1080 | 66% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
1307 | 977 | 87% | 2008-01-12 | Won |
910 | 925 | 48% | 2006-09-22 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2004-03-08 | Lost |
980 | 1096 | 34% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1078.5 vs 1027.4 has a 57.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).