ASL Scenario Archive

Setting the Stage

Games with no balance used/recorded: 38

Attacker wins (German (SS)): 21

Defender wins (Russian): 17

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1043	1046	50%	2025-04-11	Won
1100	1030	60%	2024-12-22	Won
1100	997	64%	2024-12-22	Won
994	1052	42%	2023-11-14	Lost
982	1010	46%	2023-11-02	Lost
977	977	50%	2023-07-09	Won
1196	1149	57%	2023-04-23	Lost
1269	1164	65%	2023-04-22	Lost
789	1016	21%	2023-04-21	Lost
1016	1220	24%	2022-12-16	Lost
1194	871	87%	2022-09-22	Won
1064	986	61%	2022-09-11	Won
1194	871	87%	2022-09-02	Won
993	1010	48%	2022-08-14	Lost
1048	767	83%	2022-08-12	Lost
1044	1220	27%	2022-07-29	Won
1226	1048	74%	2020-10-16	Won
1128	970	71%	2020-05-19	Lost
998	854	70%	2020-05-05	Won
909	877	55%	2018-07-20	Lost
979	1050	40%	2016-09-16	Won
1036	1120	38%	2015-05-02	Won
1027	1143	34%	2015-03-10	Lost
1135	1061	60%	2015-01-09	Won
1174	1226	43%	2013-06-20	Won
1034	986	57%	2013-04-27	Lost
1020	1044	47%	2012-03-09	Lost
1108	1125	48%	2012-03-01	Lost
1041	1044	50%	2012-02-20	Lost
1146	1081	59%	2009-09-19	Won
1329	968	89%	2008-01-12	Won
1125	1196	40%	2007-01-06	Won
1152	1097	58%	2006-09-24	Lost
915	1182	18%	2006-09-22	Won
1010	1033	47%	2004-03-08	Lost
1067	1050	52%	2004-01-16	Won
1196	1274	39%	2003-06-21	Won
980	1095	34%	2003-03-01	Won

Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1072.1 vs 1050.3 has a 53.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).