Setting the Stage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2025-09-16 | Won |
| 1043 | 1046 | 50% | 2025-04-11 | Won |
| 1062 | 1029 | 55% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1062 | 993 | 60% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 994 | 1024 | 46% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2023-11-02 | Lost |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1182 | 1147 | 55% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1181 | 50% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 1068 | 999 | 60% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 999 | 1256 | 19% | 2022-12-16 | Lost |
| 1058 | 996 | 59% | 2022-09-22 | Won |
| 1041 | 985 | 58% | 2022-09-11 | Won |
| 1058 | 996 | 59% | 2022-09-02 | Won |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 983 | 780 | 76% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1256 | 30% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1283 | 1187 | 63% | 2021-09-27 | Won |
| 1226 | 983 | 80% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
| 1116 | 970 | 70% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 928 | 854 | 60% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 918 | 62% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 962 | 1068 | 35% | 2016-09-16 | Won |
| 1045 | 1121 | 39% | 2015-05-02 | Won |
| 980 | 1144 | 28% | 2015-03-10 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1065 | 60% | 2015-01-09 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 986 | 57% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1045 | 46% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1125 | 48% | 2012-03-01 | Lost |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2012-02-20 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1083 | 64% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1252 | 968 | 84% | 2008-01-12 | Won |
| 1145 | 1182 | 45% | 2007-01-06 | Won |
| 1140 | 1111 | 54% | 2006-09-24 | Lost |
| 908 | 1255 | 12% | 2006-09-22 | Won |
| 1054 | 995 | 58% | 2004-03-08 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1068 | 53% | 2004-01-16 | Won |
| 1182 | 1016 | 72% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
| 961 | 1095 | 32% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
| 1283 | 1287 | 49% | 2003-02-09 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1073.6 vs 1061.4 has a 51.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).