Setting the Stage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1015 | 52% | 2025-09-16 | Won |
| 1043 | 1046 | 50% | 2025-04-11 | Won |
| 1046 | 1030 | 52% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1046 | 990 | 58% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 994 | 1029 | 45% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2023-11-02 | Lost |
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1189 | 1126 | 59% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1165 | 57% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1024 | 56% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1254 | 21% | 2022-12-16 | Lost |
| 1148 | 915 | 79% | 2022-09-22 | Won |
| 1109 | 986 | 67% | 2022-09-11 | Won |
| 1148 | 915 | 79% | 2022-09-02 | Won |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 1013 | 780 | 79% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1254 | 27% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1226 | 1013 | 77% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
| 1154 | 970 | 74% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 930 | 854 | 61% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 944 | 918 | 54% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 962 | 1068 | 35% | 2016-09-16 | Won |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2015-05-02 | Won |
| 1100 | 1113 | 48% | 2015-03-10 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1047 | 62% | 2015-01-09 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 986 | 57% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1045 | 46% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1126 | 48% | 2012-03-01 | Lost |
| 998 | 1084 | 38% | 2012-02-20 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1080 | 58% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1340 | 968 | 89% | 2008-01-12 | Won |
| 1145 | 1189 | 44% | 2007-01-06 | Won |
| 1151 | 1110 | 56% | 2006-09-24 | Lost |
| 907 | 1206 | 15% | 2006-09-22 | Won |
| 1044 | 1027 | 52% | 2004-03-08 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1068 | 50% | 2004-01-16 | Won |
| 1189 | 1015 | 73% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
| 963 | 1095 | 32% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1072.5 vs 1046.9 has a 53.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).