Setting the Stage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2025-04-11 | Won |
| 1094 | 1029 | 59% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1094 | 991 | 64% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 994 | 1073 | 39% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 978 | 1008 | 46% | 2023-11-02 | Lost |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1218 | 1152 | 59% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1165 | 64% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 789 | 996 | 23% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 996 | 1277 | 17% | 2022-12-16 | Lost |
| 1187 | 869 | 86% | 2022-09-22 | Won |
| 1132 | 983 | 70% | 2022-09-11 | Won |
| 1187 | 869 | 86% | 2022-09-02 | Won |
| 991 | 1008 | 48% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 970 | 768 | 76% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1277 | 24% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1223 | 970 | 81% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 998 | 852 | 70% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 896 | 876 | 53% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2015-05-02 | Won |
| 1064 | 1132 | 40% | 2015-03-10 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1026 | 65% | 2015-01-09 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 987 | 57% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1044 | 46% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1125 | 48% | 2012-03-01 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1073 | 50% | 2012-02-20 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1081 | 59% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1310 | 968 | 88% | 2008-01-12 | Won |
| 1124 | 1218 | 37% | 2007-01-06 | Won |
| 915 | 1189 | 17% | 2006-09-22 | Won |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2004-03-08 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1273 | 42% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
| 981 | 1097 | 34% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1073.2 vs 1051.2 has a 53.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).