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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (13 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 25
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2025-08-01 | Won |
| 1209 | 1100 | 65% | 2025-01-05 | Lost |
| 997 | 1100 | 36% | 2025-01-05 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2024-08-04 | Lost |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1268 | 1016 | 81% | 2023-01-20 | Won |
| 970 | 1127 | 29% | 2020-05-22 | Lost |
| 1050 | 979 | 60% | 2016-12-19 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2013-06-25 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1017 | 63% | 2010-11-22 | Lost |
| 980 | 1095 | 34% | 2005-12-20 | Won |
| 1050 | 1067 | 48% | 2003-10-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 1107 | 35% | 2002-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1070.6 vs 1058.8 has a 51.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).