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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (13 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 25
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 1024 | 49% | 2025-08-01 | D | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2025-01-05 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1029 | 43% | 2025-01-05 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2024-08-04 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1017 | 54% | 2023-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1217 | 996 | 78% | 2023-01-20 | | Won |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2020-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 929 | 70% | 2016-12-19 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2013-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2010-11-22 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1096 | 31% | 2005-12-20 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1087 | 48% | 2003-10-08 | | Won |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2002-08-02 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1043.7 vs 1034.6 has a 51.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).