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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (13 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 25
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1037 | 46% | 2025-08-01 | Won |
| 984 | 1058 | 40% | 2025-01-05 | Lost |
| 993 | 1058 | 41% | 2025-01-05 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2024-08-04 | Lost |
| 933 | 1146 | 23% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1206 | 999 | 77% | 2023-01-20 | Won |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2020-05-22 | Lost |
| 1060 | 928 | 68% | 2016-12-19 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2013-06-25 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1017 | 56% | 2010-11-22 | Lost |
| 961 | 1096 | 31% | 2005-12-20 | Won |
| 1060 | 1087 | 46% | 2003-10-08 | Won |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2002-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1031.9 vs 1060.8 has a 45.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).