In the Bag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (12 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 1137 | 53% | 2024-01-01 | Won |
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1062 | 65% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1062 | 73% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2013-07-12 | Won |
| 1157 | 994 | 72% | 2011-10-23 | Won |
| 1060 | 1010 | 57% | 2011-05-20 | Won |
| 1039 | 1042 | 50% | 2002-03-03 | Lost |
| 968 | 1037 | 40% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2001-08-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1055.9 vs 1066.9 has a 48.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).