In the Bag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (12 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1171 | 1137 | 55% | 2024-01-01 | Won |
| 893 | 1183 | 16% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 893 | 1183 | 16% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1050 | 69% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1050 | 71% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 941 | 941 | 50% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1063 | 1000 | 59% | 2013-07-12 | Won |
| 1216 | 1048 | 72% | 2011-10-23 | Won |
| 1078 | 968 | 65% | 2011-05-20 | Won |
| 1058 | 1040 | 53% | 2002-03-03 | Lost |
| 968 | 1003 | 45% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-08-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1064.6 vs 1058.2 has a 50.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).