In the Bag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (12 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1123 | 1158 | 45% | 2024-01-01 | Won |
| 940 | 1138 | 24% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 940 | 1138 | 24% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1053 | 69% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1053 | 69% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 975 | 962 | 52% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2013-07-12 | Won |
| 1169 | 1038 | 68% | 2011-10-23 | Won |
| 1100 | 1077 | 53% | 2011-05-20 | Won |
| 1054 | 1040 | 52% | 2002-03-03 | Lost |
| 968 | 1037 | 40% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-08-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1065.2 vs 1065.8 has a 49.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).