Silesian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 333 (53 on the archive and 280 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 166
Defender wins (Russian): 167
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1110 | 55% | 2025-03-02 | Won |
| 1260 | 964 | 85% | 2025-02-12 | Won |
| 991 | 1038 | 43% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 948 | 983 | 45% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1200 | 27% | 2024-02-03 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1075 | 57% | 2024-01-20 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-07-11 | Won |
| 869 | 984 | 34% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1256 | 30% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 983 | 1078 | 37% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1014 | 55% | 2020-07-10 | Won |
| 1037 | 1217 | 26% | 2019-12-23 | Won |
| 977 | 1098 | 33% | 2019-09-19 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1045 | 52% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 962 | 1023 | 41% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
| 1018 | 966 | 57% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 954 | 1283 | 13% | 2018-05-19 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2018-02-03 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1122 | 68% | 2017-06-11 | Won |
| 949 | 1143 | 25% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 970 | 1116 | 30% | 2016-09-13 | Lost |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-07-11 | Lost |
| 959 | 1100 | 31% | 2014-11-08 | Lost |
| 1107 | 987 | 67% | 2014-10-04 | Lost |
| 1122 | 962 | 72% | 2013-10-13 | Won |
| 844 | 1098 | 19% | 2012-08-06 | Lost |
| 929 | 982 | 42% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1075 | 48% | 2010-11-26 | Won |
| 1054 | 1019 | 55% | 2010-10-29 | Won |
| 1200 | 1092 | 65% | 2010-10-16 | Lost |
| 1260 | 1068 | 75% | 2010-03-23 | Won |
| 905 | 1103 | 24% | 2010-01-10 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1012 | 68% | 2009-12-06 | Won |
| 1015 | 1105 | 37% | 2008-11-05 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1103 | 42% | 2008-10-10 | Won |
| 1021 | 1423 | 9% | 2006-07-16 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2006-04-04 | Lost |
| 1068 | 894 | 73% | 2005-04-10 | Lost |
| 1260 | 1020 | 80% | 2005-03-23 | Won |
| 866 | 1068 | 24% | 2004-06-25 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1130 | 54% | 2002-09-05 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1130 | 51% | 2002-05-19 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1091 | 51% | 2001-10-13 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1089 | 47% | 2001-08-26 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2001-07-27 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-07-18 | Won |
| 1089 | 1109 | 47% | 2001-07-11 | Won |
| 1140 | 1008 | 68% | 2001-06-30 | Lost |
| 989 | 1177 | 25% | 2001-06-22 | Won |
| 992 | 1101 | 35% | 2001-06-02 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1048.7 vs 1085.1 has a 44.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).