Silesian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 331 (51 on the archive and 280 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 164
Defender wins (Russian): 167
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1110 | 55% | 2025-03-02 | Won |
| 1182 | 973 | 77% | 2025-02-12 | Won |
| 940 | 1038 | 36% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 947 | 1048 | 36% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1146 | 31% | 2024-02-03 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1118 | 51% | 2024-01-20 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1035 | 50% | 2023-07-11 | Won |
| 886 | 984 | 36% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1220 | 34% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 953 | 1110 | 29% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1048 | 1042 | 51% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1014 | 53% | 2020-07-10 | Won |
| 1061 | 1219 | 29% | 2019-12-23 | Won |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2019-09-19 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1036 | 54% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 972 | 965 | 51% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
| 988 | 966 | 53% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 909 | 1110 | 24% | 2018-02-03 | Lost |
| 909 | 1110 | 24% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1122 | 77% | 2017-06-11 | Won |
| 977 | 1144 | 28% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 970 | 1128 | 29% | 2016-09-13 | Lost |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-07-11 | Lost |
| 941 | 1098 | 29% | 2014-11-08 | Lost |
| 1096 | 986 | 65% | 2014-10-04 | Lost |
| 1122 | 998 | 67% | 2013-10-13 | Won |
| 844 | 1060 | 22% | 2012-08-06 | Lost |
| 929 | 986 | 42% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
| 1110 | 962 | 70% | 2010-11-26 | Won |
| 1056 | 1020 | 55% | 2010-10-29 | Won |
| 1146 | 1092 | 58% | 2010-10-16 | Lost |
| 1182 | 994 | 75% | 2010-03-23 | Won |
| 904 | 1086 | 26% | 2010-01-10 | Lost |
| 1152 | 993 | 71% | 2009-12-06 | Won |
| 1011 | 1044 | 45% | 2008-11-05 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1086 | 44% | 2008-10-10 | Won |
| 996 | 1413 | 8% | 2006-07-16 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2006-04-04 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1034 | 70% | 2005-03-23 | Won |
| 866 | 1050 | 26% | 2004-06-25 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1130 | 48% | 2002-09-05 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1132 | 53% | 2002-05-19 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1091 | 51% | 2001-10-13 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1064 | 50% | 2001-08-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2001-07-27 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2001-07-18 | Won |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2001-07-11 | Won |
| 1152 | 1009 | 69% | 2001-06-30 | Lost |
| 999 | 1196 | 24% | 2001-06-22 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 2001-06-02 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1039.4 vs 1078 has a 44.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).