Silesian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 332 (52 on the archive and 280 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 166
Defender wins (Russian): 166
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1110 | 55% | 2025-03-02 | Won |
| 1145 | 964 | 74% | 2025-02-12 | Won |
| 951 | 1038 | 38% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 947 | 1043 | 37% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1142 | 32% | 2024-02-03 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1050 | 61% | 2024-01-20 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1035 | 49% | 2023-07-11 | Won |
| 882 | 984 | 36% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1254 | 30% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 956 | 1110 | 29% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1043 | 1058 | 48% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1014 | 52% | 2020-07-10 | Won |
| 1063 | 1219 | 29% | 2019-12-23 | Won |
| 977 | 1065 | 38% | 2019-09-19 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1028 | 56% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 964 | 937 | 54% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
| 1061 | 966 | 63% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 951 | 1111 | 28% | 2018-02-03 | Lost |
| 951 | 1111 | 28% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1122 | 77% | 2017-06-11 | Won |
| 953 | 1145 | 25% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 971 | 1133 | 28% | 2016-09-13 | Lost |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-07-11 | Lost |
| 916 | 1098 | 26% | 2014-11-08 | Lost |
| 1096 | 986 | 65% | 2014-10-04 | Lost |
| 1122 | 997 | 67% | 2013-10-13 | Won |
| 843 | 1065 | 22% | 2012-08-06 | Lost |
| 929 | 986 | 42% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2010-11-26 | Won |
| 1054 | 1020 | 55% | 2010-10-29 | Won |
| 1142 | 1092 | 57% | 2010-10-16 | Lost |
| 1145 | 998 | 70% | 2010-03-23 | Won |
| 904 | 1106 | 24% | 2010-01-10 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1014 | 69% | 2009-12-06 | Won |
| 1011 | 1075 | 41% | 2008-11-05 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1106 | 41% | 2008-10-10 | Won |
| 996 | 1416 | 8% | 2006-07-16 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2006-04-04 | Lost |
| 998 | 898 | 64% | 2005-04-10 | Lost |
| 1145 | 995 | 70% | 2005-03-23 | Won |
| 866 | 1063 | 24% | 2004-06-25 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1130 | 50% | 2002-09-05 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1131 | 53% | 2002-05-19 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1091 | 51% | 2001-10-13 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1123 | 43% | 2001-08-26 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2001-07-27 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-07-18 | Won |
| 1123 | 1078 | 56% | 2001-07-11 | Won |
| 1152 | 1009 | 69% | 2001-06-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1193 | 25% | 2001-06-22 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 2001-06-02 | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1039.8 vs 1075.2 has a 44.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).