Just an Illusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (9 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Thai (Chinese)): 23
Defender wins (French): 28
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Thai (Chinese)): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2023-01-08 | Lost |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2021-12-05 | Won |
| 764 | 946 | 26% | 2020-05-23 | Lost |
| 892 | 1067 | 27% | 2013-02-26 | Won |
| 871 | 1160 | 16% | 2012-09-17 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1115 | 56% | 2007-05-05 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1059 | 51% | 2003-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 966.5 vs 1050.6 has a 38.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).