Lend-Lease Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 139 (28 on the archive and 111 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 82
Defender wins (German): 56
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-05-22 | Won |
| 1232 | 1300 | 40% | 2019-12-27 | Won |
| 1027 | 983 | 56% | 2017-02-17 | Lost |
| 1144 | 947 | 76% | 2016-06-29 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1221 | 46% | 2016-04-30 | Tied |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 1117 | 999 | 66% | 2012-03-11 | Won |
| 1125 | 1108 | 52% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
| 1006 | 961 | 56% | 2009-01-18 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1166 | 54% | 2006-09-15 | Won |
| 1430 | 1021 | 91% | 2006-09-09 | Won |
| 1046 | 1023 | 53% | 2006-08-12 | Won |
| 1159 | 1097 | 59% | 2006-06-24 | Won |
| 1233 | 1135 | 64% | 2006-04-23 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1023 | 62% | 2006-04-02 | Lost |
| 917 | 1232 | 14% | 2006-03-24 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1120 | 37% | 2006-03-17 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1021 | 77% | 2005-12-28 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1021 | 77% | 2005-12-28 | Won |
| 1066 | 1077 | 48% | 2005-04-29 | Won |
| 1061 | 1207 | 30% | 2005-04-28 | Won |
| 1061 | 1049 | 52% | 2005-04-22 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-02-15 | Lost |
| 916 | 1048 | 32% | 2005-01-14 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1102 | 41% | 2005-01-01 | Won |
| 1058 | 1119 | 41% | 2004-11-02 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1106.6 vs 1083.5 has a 53.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).