Lend-Lease Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 125 (22 on the archive and 103 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 72
Defender wins (German): 52
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2022-05-22 | Won |
1307 | 1298 | 51% | 2019-12-27 | Won |
1028 | 1087 | 42% | 2017-02-17 | Lost |
1151 | 954 | 76% | 2016-06-29 | Lost |
1197 | 1175 | 53% | 2016-04-30 | Tied |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2012-03-11 | Won |
1125 | 1108 | 52% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
1003 | 980 | 53% | 2009-01-18 | Lost |
1360 | 979 | 90% | 2006-09-09 | Won |
1142 | 1052 | 63% | 2006-06-24 | Won |
1227 | 1135 | 63% | 2006-04-23 | Lost |
917 | 1307 | 10% | 2006-03-24 | Lost |
1307 | 979 | 87% | 2005-12-28 | Won |
1307 | 979 | 87% | 2005-12-28 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2005-04-28 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2005-02-15 | Lost |
936 | 992 | 42% | 2005-01-14 | Lost |
1030 | 1175 | 30% | 2005-01-01 | Won |
1055 | 1120 | 41% | 2004-11-02 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1105.4 vs 1070.9 has a 54.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).