Escape from Velikiye Luki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (34 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 57
Defender wins (Russian): 36
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2026-07-05 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1132 | 47% | 2026-07-05 | Won |
| 1021 | 981 | 56% | 2026-06-06 | Won |
| 971 | 1228 | 19% | 2025-05-31 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1040 | 49% | 2022-02-16 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1135 | 52% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
| 962 | 977 | 48% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 962 | 977 | 48% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1009 | 65% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 1014 | 1070 | 42% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
| 1080 | 1116 | 45% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1080 | 55% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 940 | 1137 | 24% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 979 | 950 | 54% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 923 | 1070 | 30% | 2016-10-12 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 1003 | 1039 | 45% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1328 | 954 | 90% | 2015-04-12 | Won |
| 1056 | 1111 | 42% | 2014-08-25 | Won |
| 888 | 949 | 41% | 2014-03-30 | Won |
| 1014 | 1055 | 44% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1051 | 47% | 2013-09-17 | Lost |
| 891 | 951 | 41% | 2013-09-09 | Won |
| 891 | 970 | 39% | 2013-09-02 | Won |
| 996 | 1070 | 40% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 963 | 998 | 45% | 2012-05-11 | Won |
| 1139 | 1121 | 53% | 2011-12-22 | Won |
| 930 | 968 | 45% | 2011-04-19 | Lost |
| 999 | 870 | 68% | 2009-04-30 | Lost |
| 1014 | 990 | 53% | 2006-11-01 | Won |
| 1036 | 1050 | 48% | 2000-01-15 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1075 | 47% | 1998-07-12 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1020.2 vs 1031.9 has a 48.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).