Escape from Velikiye Luki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (32 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 55
Defender wins (Russian): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1081 | 1040 | 56% | 2026-06-06 | Won |
| 986 | 1216 | 21% | 2025-05-31 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1127 | 52% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1099 | 47% | 2022-02-16 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1087 | 46% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 972 | 1030 | 42% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 1014 | 1045 | 46% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
| 1080 | 1116 | 45% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1080 | 55% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 948 | 1030 | 38% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 979 | 950 | 54% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 1005 | 1045 | 44% | 2016-10-12 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 1075 | 967 | 65% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1245 | 1030 | 78% | 2015-04-12 | Won |
| 1039 | 1046 | 49% | 2014-08-25 | Won |
| 888 | 924 | 45% | 2014-03-30 | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1051 | 58% | 2013-09-17 | Lost |
| 890 | 951 | 41% | 2013-09-09 | Won |
| 890 | 970 | 39% | 2013-09-02 | Won |
| 996 | 1071 | 39% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 963 | 984 | 47% | 2012-05-11 | Won |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | 2011-12-22 | Won |
| 972 | 906 | 59% | 2011-04-19 | Lost |
| 991 | 870 | 67% | 2009-04-30 | Lost |
| 1034 | 990 | 56% | 2006-11-01 | Won |
| 1110 | 1021 | 63% | 2000-01-15 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1075 | 50% | 1998-07-12 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1023.4 vs 1019.2 has a 50.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).