Escape from Velikiye Luki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (31 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 54
Defender wins (Russian): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 1220 | 22% | 2025-05-31 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1159 | 48% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1099 | 45% | 2022-02-16 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1087 | 59% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
| 1003 | 979 | 53% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 1003 | 979 | 53% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 956 | 1119 | 28% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 1014 | 1080 | 41% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
| 1080 | 1116 | 45% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1080 | 55% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 948 | 1119 | 27% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 979 | 950 | 54% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 985 | 1080 | 37% | 2016-10-12 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1220 | 967 | 81% | 2015-04-12 | Won |
| 1007 | 969 | 55% | 2014-08-25 | Won |
| 888 | 884 | 51% | 2014-03-30 | Won |
| 1019 | 1055 | 45% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1051 | 43% | 2013-09-17 | Lost |
| 890 | 951 | 41% | 2013-09-09 | Won |
| 890 | 970 | 39% | 2013-09-02 | Won |
| 996 | 1071 | 39% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 963 | 984 | 47% | 2012-05-11 | Won |
| 1121 | 1121 | 50% | 2011-12-22 | Won |
| 958 | 920 | 55% | 2011-04-19 | Lost |
| 1005 | 870 | 69% | 2009-04-30 | Lost |
| 1034 | 990 | 56% | 2006-11-01 | Won |
| 1110 | 983 | 68% | 2000-01-15 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1075 | 50% | 1998-07-12 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1021.2 vs 1018.9 has a 50.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).