Monty's Mess
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (23 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 50
Defender wins (British): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 980 | 1009 | 46% | 2025-04-11 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1193 | 33% | 2025-02-16 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1191 | 34% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 1075 | 1185 | 35% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 1097 | 1010 | 62% | 2019-10-20 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1008 | 69% | 2019-08-16 | Won |
| 1340 | 917 | 92% | 2018-09-07 | Won |
| 1035 | 949 | 62% | 2018-09-05 | Lost |
| 944 | 1118 | 27% | 2017-05-10 | Won |
| 1078 | 1030 | 57% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1024 | 58% | 2016-02-15 | Won |
| 1035 | 1105 | 40% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1010 | 1021 | 48% | 2014-11-08 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-03-17 | Lost |
| 963 | 983 | 47% | 2011-08-17 | Tied |
| 1151 | 739 | 91% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
| 1203 | 1079 | 67% | 2007-02-21 | Won |
| 1055 | 1218 | 28% | 2006-09-23 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
| 1174 | 982 | 75% | 2003-07-29 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2003-06-16 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2003-06-16 | Won |
| 944 | 1118 | 27% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1079.8 vs 1054.9 has a 53.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).