Monty's Mess
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (22 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 48
Defender wins (British): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2025-04-11 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1175 | 37% | 2025-02-16 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1162 | 38% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 1075 | 1218 | 31% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 1097 | 1056 | 56% | 2019-10-20 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1202 | 48% | 2019-08-16 | Won |
| 1310 | 917 | 91% | 2018-09-07 | Won |
| 1035 | 949 | 62% | 2018-09-05 | Lost |
| 896 | 1112 | 22% | 2017-05-10 | Won |
| 1058 | 1029 | 54% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1024 | 55% | 2016-02-15 | Won |
| 1029 | 1100 | 40% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1056 | 1020 | 55% | 2014-11-08 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2013-03-17 | Lost |
| 963 | 948 | 52% | 2011-08-17 | Tied |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2007-02-21 | Won |
| 1043 | 1060 | 48% | 2006-09-23 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
| 1104 | 959 | 70% | 2003-07-29 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2003-06-16 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2003-06-16 | Won |
| 896 | 1112 | 22% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1062.2 vs 1065.7 has a 49.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).