The Road to Wiltz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (American): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1051 | 44% | 2022-05-05 | Lost |
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2021-02-24 | Won |
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2021-02-23 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2015-10-25 | Lost |
| 1091 | 827 | 82% | 2006-05-14 | Won |
| 849 | 1234 | 10% | 2003-09-21 | Lost |
| 969 | 1079 | 35% | 2003-04-04 | Won |
| 1042 | 1039 | 50% | 2002-03-10 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 973.5 vs 1087.9 has a 34.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).