A Tough Nut to Crack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (4 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 7
Defender wins (Japanese): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1102 | 46% | 2022-04-02 | Lost |
| 902 | 1109 | 23% | 2022-04-01 | Won |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2014-08-20 | Won |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2014-06-12 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1028.5 vs 1086.8 has a 41.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).