Vaagso Venture
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (6 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 16
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 1005 | 41% | 2021-05-07 | Lost |
| 910 | 1089 | 26% | 2020-05-24 | Lost |
| 959 | 1219 | 18% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 835 | 949 | 34% | 2013-06-22 | Won |
| 928 | 1010 | 38% | 2011-08-13 | Won |
| 1116 | 1036 | 61% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 948.5 vs 1051.3 has a 35.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).