The Dead of Winter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1010 | 46% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
| 1220 | 750 | 94% | 2020-11-23 | Won |
| 968 | 1123 | 29% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1036 | 46% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
| 941 | 1249 | 15% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
| 1040 | 1108 | 40% | 2016-11-02 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1118 | 45% | 2004-09-29 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2001-07-31 | Won |
| 985 | 1088 | 36% | 1997-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1037.8 vs 1047.8 has a 48.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).