The Dead of Winter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1093 | 1009 | 62% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
1209 | 762 | 93% | 2020-11-23 | Won |
1050 | 1153 | 36% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
1006 | 1015 | 49% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
1153 | 967 | 74% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
906 | 1240 | 13% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
1039 | 1093 | 42% | 2016-11-02 | Lost |
1086 | 1099 | 48% | 2004-09-29 | Won |
1069 | 1088 | 47% | 1997-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1067.9 vs 1047.3 has a 52.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).