A Little Bit Closer to Heaven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (9 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French ): 19
Defender wins (German): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 989 | 58% | 2023-07-24 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2021-10-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2019-04-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2010-12-17 | | Lost |
| 1149 | 832 | 86% | 2002-08-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2002-07-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2001-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2001-06-27 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2001-01-06 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1056 vs 1025.6 has a 54.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).