A Little Bit Closer to Heaven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Free French ): 5
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 989 | 58% | 2023-07-24 | Won |
| 907 | 1172 | 18% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2019-04-07 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2010-12-17 | Lost |
| 1151 | 834 | 86% | 2002-08-21 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1141 | 56% | 2002-07-03 | Lost |
| 613 | 1101 | 6% | 2001-09-23 | Lost |
| 1022 | 913 | 65% | 2001-06-27 | Won |
| 1263 | 1292 | 46% | 2001-01-06 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1052.1 vs 1069.2 has a 47.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).