A Little Bit Closer to Heaven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (Free French ): 4
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 989 | 60% | 2023-07-24 | Won |
| 1041 | 1030 | 52% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
| 1202 | 1080 | 67% | 2019-04-07 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2010-12-17 | Lost |
| 1204 | 831 | 90% | 2002-08-21 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1151 | 55% | 2002-07-03 | Lost |
| 614 | 1100 | 6% | 2001-09-23 | Lost |
| 1047 | 914 | 68% | 2001-06-27 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1055.8 vs 1024.4 has a 54.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).