Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (11 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British / American): 12
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1049 | 1017 | 55% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
1062 | 1307 | 20% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
915 | 1055 | 31% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
994 | 998 | 49% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
1049 | 1060 | 48% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
1245 | 1049 | 76% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
1049 | 1144 | 37% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
1098 | 1307 | 23% | 2016-06-05 | Won |
1043 | 1006 | 55% | 2010-05-11 | Won |
1142 | 1172 | 46% | 1999-05-29 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1060.3 vs 1102.9 has a 43.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).