Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (16 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British / American): 17
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 928 | 53% | 2025-02-03 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1039 | 57% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1310 | 28% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 908 | 1075 | 28% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1092 | 48% | 2021-03-17 | Won |
| 1100 | 1021 | 61% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
| 920 | 1066 | 30% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1061 | 54% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1244 | 1086 | 71% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1310 | 21% | 2016-06-05 | Won |
| 1040 | 1006 | 55% | 2010-05-11 | Won |
| 1136 | 1142 | 49% | 1999-05-29 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1074.4 vs 1090.8 has a 47.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).