Test of Nerves
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 123 (15 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 59
Defender wins (German (SS)): 63
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1087 | 1075 | 52% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
1010 | 975 | 55% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
856 | 1204 | 12% | 2017-07-01 | Lost |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2014-11-29 | Won |
1056 | 994 | 59% | 2014-11-09 | Lost |
994 | 1056 | 41% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2014-10-03 | Won |
905 | 1090 | 26% | 2010-06-30 | Lost |
1204 | 1022 | 74% | 2008-12-11 | Lost |
1289 | 1030 | 82% | 2008-11-18 | Lost |
1121 | 1307 | 26% | 2006-03-27 | Won |
987 | 992 | 49% | 2004-03-01 | Won |
994 | 905 | 63% | 2002-10-26 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 1998-06-14 | Won |
870 | 1063 | 25% | 1998-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1050.5 vs 1081.2 has a 45.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).