Test of Nerves
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (British): 10
Defender wins (German (SS)): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 1016 | 60% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
| 949 | 967 | 47% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 853 | 1157 | 15% | 2017-07-01 | Lost |
| 917 | 1014 | 36% | 2017-01-27 | Won |
| 1132 | 1005 | 68% | 2014-11-29 | Won |
| 1039 | 920 | 66% | 2014-11-09 | Lost |
| 920 | 1039 | 34% | 2014-11-07 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1005 | 68% | 2014-10-03 | Won |
| 905 | 1087 | 26% | 2010-06-30 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1021 | 48% | 2008-12-11 | Lost |
| 1272 | 1029 | 80% | 2008-11-18 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1310 | 25% | 2006-03-27 | Won |
| 928 | 1009 | 39% | 2004-03-01 | Won |
| 1248 | 1121 | 68% | 2003-07-26 | Won |
| 920 | 905 | 52% | 2002-10-26 | Won |
| 1116 | 1091 | 54% | 1999-08-04 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 1998-06-14 | Won |
| 872 | 1036 | 28% | 1998-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1028.7 vs 1046 has a 47.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).