Bitter Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (4 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (French): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1123 | 33% | 2019-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1101 | 68% | 2014-01-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2012-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1058.3 vs 1099.5 has a 44.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).