Bitter Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (4 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (French): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1146 | 1128 | 53% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1096 | 68% | 2014-01-21 | Won |
| 1112 | 1086 | 54% | 2012-02-16 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1142.8 vs 1098.8 has a 56.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).