Last Roundup
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (6 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 15
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 1008 | 70% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1148 | 32% | 2009-09-25 | Won |
| 1030 | 1152 | 33% | 2006-09-22 | Won |
| 1014 | 1046 | 45% | 2006-09-22 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 1999-05-13 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1004.3 vs 1099.2 has a 36.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).