The Road to Mandalay
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (3 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 9
Defender wins (Burmese): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 900 | 1032 | 32% | 2019-12-12 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1152 | 34% | 2005-10-03 | Won |
| 1104 | 1115 | 48% | 1996-12-07 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1012.7 vs 1099.7 has a 37.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).