The Road to Mandalay
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (4 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Commonwealth): 8
Defender wins (Burmese): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 919 | 1031 | 34% | 2019-12-12 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1025 | 80% | 2007-07-28 | Won |
| 1054 | 1140 | 38% | 2005-10-03 | Won |
| 1097 | 1173 | 39% | 1996-12-07 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1083.3 vs 1092.3 has a 48.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).