Motorcycle Probe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (7 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Polish): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1183 | 1182 | 50% | 2024-02-12 | Won |
1013 | 1016 | 50% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2023-04-19 | Won |
1225 | 976 | 81% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
1028 | 940 | 62% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
1000 | 1144 | 30% | 2018-06-22 | Tied |
1144 | 1000 | 70% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1084.7 vs 1049.3 has a 55.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).