Motorcycle Probe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (8 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Polish): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1121 | 1182 | 41% | 2024-02-12 | Won |
| 906 | 995 | 37% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 906 | 882 | 53% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1073 | 40% | 2023-04-19 | Won |
| 1223 | 976 | 81% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 1086 | 939 | 70% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 1041 | 1132 | 37% | 2018-06-22 | Tied |
| 1132 | 1041 | 63% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1051.9 vs 1027.5 has a 53.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).