Taking Tailleville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (Canadian): 7
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1093 | 41% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 969 | 1099 | 32% | 2022-09-02 | Won |
| 1051 | 967 | 62% | 2022-07-14 | Won |
| 1180 | 1057 | 67% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1115 | 53% | 2021-02-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2017-09-17 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1236 | 64% | 2013-08-18 | Won |
| 986 | 943 | 56% | 2006-10-02 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1078 | 59% | 2005-10-02 | Won |
| 1123 | 997 | 67% | 2005-01-02 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2004-12-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2004-11-09 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1086.9 vs 1072.6 has a 52.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).