Taking Tailleville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (Canadian): 7
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 969 | 1095 | 33% | 2022-09-02 | Won |
| 983 | 967 | 52% | 2022-07-14 | Won |
| 1175 | 1048 | 68% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1114 | 59% | 2021-02-01 | Won |
| 1122 | 970 | 71% | 2017-09-17 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1236 | 49% | 2013-08-18 | Won |
| 982 | 944 | 55% | 2006-10-02 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1110 | 40% | 2005-10-02 | Won |
| 1159 | 963 | 76% | 2005-01-02 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2004-12-01 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2004-11-09 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1076.4 vs 1051.1 has a 53.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).