Taking Tailleville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Canadian): 8
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | 2024-07-01 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1152 | 25% | 2022-09-02 | | Won |
| 1063 | 967 | 63% | 2022-07-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2022-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 1134 | 45% | 2021-02-01 | | Won |
| 1030 | 1019 | 52% | 2017-09-17 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2013-08-18 | | Won |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2006-10-02 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 862 | 84% | 2006-09-30 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2005-10-02 | | Won |
| 1100 | 944 | 71% | 2005-01-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2004-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2004-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1047.6 vs 1023.2 has a 53.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).