Firestorm in St. Manvieu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (6 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 33
Defender wins (German (SS)): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 1149 | 44% | 2025-01-25 | Tied |
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2017-12-16 | Won |
| 1003 | 1038 | 45% | 2017-07-15 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1310 | 21% | 2013-08-31 | Won |
| 1067 | 1116 | 43% | 2006-09-24 | Won |
| 1189 | 851 | 87% | 2005-09-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1066.8 vs 1084.7 has a 47.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).