Firestorm in St. Manvieu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (4 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 31
Defender wins (German (SS)): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
987 | 1027 | 44% | 2017-12-16 | Won |
992 | 988 | 51% | 2017-07-15 | Lost |
1098 | 1307 | 23% | 2013-08-31 | Won |
925 | 880 | 56% | 2005-09-10 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1000.5 vs 1050.5 has a 42.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).