Hornet's Nest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 883 | 56% | 2025-07-14 | Lost |
| 976 | 780 | 76% | 2023-05-16 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1091 | 48% | 2022-08-16 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1217 | 29% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 969 | 1123 | 29% | 2019-01-14 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1176 | 34% | 2010-09-21 | Won |
| 1070 | 1130 | 41% | 2010-06-03 | Lost |
| 777 | 1141 | 11% | 2004-05-22 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1078 | 49% | 2003-04-11 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1074 | 52% | 2001-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1007.9 vs 1069.3 has a 41.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).