Monstir Gap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Greek / Australian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 1057 | 52% | 2026-05-23 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1152 | 46% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1018 | 58% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
| 997 | 999 | 50% | 2021-02-08 | Won |
| 1152 | 940 | 77% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 902 | 986 | 38% | 2020-12-19 | Won |
| 1123 | 986 | 69% | 2020-12-18 | Won |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2020-12-08 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1118 | 61% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1072 | 1263 | 25% | 2010-06-10 | Won |
| 1078 | 1035 | 56% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1042 | 64% | 2002-11-03 | Lost |
| 1140 | 777 | 89% | 2002-09-03 | Won |
| 1140 | 777 | 89% | 1999-04-27 | Won |
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 1999-03-28 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1094 vs 1007.9 has a 62.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).