Monstir Gap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 6
Defender wins (Greek / Australian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1192 | 1099 | 63% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1014 | 53% | 2021-02-08 | Won |
| 1151 | 908 | 80% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 903 | 990 | 38% | 2020-12-19 | Won |
| 1153 | 990 | 72% | 2020-12-18 | Won |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2020-12-08 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1021 | 79% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1057 | 1035 | 53% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1042 | 65% | 2002-11-03 | Lost |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2002-09-03 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 1999-04-27 | Won |
| 1078 | 1139 | 41% | 1999-03-28 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1113 vs 975.4 has a 68.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).