Monstir Gap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Greek / Australian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1057 | 42% | 2026-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1111 | 1150 | 44% | 2023-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1017 | 66% | 2023-03-15 | | Lost |
| 963 | 999 | 45% | 2021-02-08 | | Won |
| 1152 | 940 | 77% | 2021-01-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2020-12-19 | | Won |
| 1133 | 952 | 74% | 2020-12-18 | | Won |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2020-12-08 | | Lost |
| 1272 | 1137 | 69% | 2020-12-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2010-06-10 | | Won |
| 1078 | 1035 | 56% | 2006-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2002-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 790 | 88% | 2002-09-03 | | Won |
| 1141 | 790 | 88% | 1999-04-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 1999-03-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1096.5 vs 1001.1 has a 63.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).