Sur le Toit de l'Europe (The Roof of Europe)
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (5 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Free French): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2024-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2018-09-21 | | Lost |
| 962 | 1000 | 45% | 2015-09-13 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2010-01-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2008-09-13 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1022 vs 1075.2 has a 42.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).