The New Boy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (8 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2021-12-08 | | Won |
| 1147 | 850 | 85% | 2018-11-17 | | Won |
| 1139 | 1133 | 51% | 2017-11-18 | | Won |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2012-03-25 | | Won |
| 832 | 1150 | 14% | 2003-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 991 | 69% | 2003-05-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2003-05-14 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2003-05-13 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1076.4 vs 1011.9 has a 59.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).