Fat Sparrows Atop Skyline Drive
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (5 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2022-01-03 | | Won |
| 850 | 1123 | 17% | 2018-11-25 | | Lost |
| 1211 | 1021 | 75% | 2015-06-29 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2012-04-15 | | Lost |
| 832 | 1140 | 15% | 2004-02-02 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 985.4 vs 1077 has a 37.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).