Duel at Reuler
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 133 (21 on the archive and 112 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 70
Defender wins (American): 63
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1165 | 973 | 75% | 2022-03-28 | | Won |
| 932 | 932 | 50% | 2021-06-08 | | Won |
| 1116 | 918 | 76% | 2015-04-04 | | Won |
| 1060 | 987 | 60% | 2013-08-28 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2012-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2012-05-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2010-08-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2009-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2007-10-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2007-02-10 | | Lost |
| 1096 | 1000 | 63% | 2006-02-18 | | Won |
| 961 | 1096 | 31% | 2005-12-17 | | Lost |
| 961 | 1096 | 31% | 2005-12-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1018 | 47% | 2004-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2004-07-29 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1022 | 76% | 2004-07-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2004-04-15 | | Lost |
| 832 | 1133 | 15% | 2003-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 1000 | 74% | 1999-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1998-09-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 1998-04-26 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1040 vs 1036.4 has a 50.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).