Duel at Reuler
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 938 | 1056 | 34% | 2022-03-28 | Won |
| 966 | 932 | 55% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 1059 | 941 | 66% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
| 1059 | 987 | 60% | 2013-08-28 | Won |
| 1066 | 1017 | 57% | 2012-05-18 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1066 | 43% | 2012-05-04 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1058 | 48% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2009-12-01 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1004 | 79% | 2007-10-29 | Won |
| 1037 | 1066 | 46% | 2007-02-10 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1077 | 53% | 2006-02-18 | Won |
| 961 | 1096 | 31% | 2005-12-17 | Lost |
| 961 | 1096 | 31% | 2005-12-17 | Lost |
| 913 | 1048 | 31% | 2004-12-27 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1061 | 48% | 2004-07-29 | Won |
| 1207 | 1061 | 70% | 2004-07-24 | Won |
| 1135 | 1233 | 36% | 2004-04-15 | Lost |
| 833 | 1193 | 11% | 2003-07-09 | Lost |
| 1073 | 897 | 73% | 1999-03-19 | Lost |
| 993 | 1101 | 35% | 1998-09-12 | Won |
| 987 | 1066 | 39% | 1998-04-26 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1031.3 vs 1051 has a 47.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).