Ils Ne Passeront Pas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (9 on the archive and 88 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 39
Defender wins (German): 58
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1010 | 1160 | 30% | 2020-07-12 | Lost |
1058 | 921 | 69% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
1068 | 1105 | 45% | 2013-04-22 | Lost |
964 | 1095 | 32% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2010-05-27 | Lost |
1020 | 1097 | 39% | 2005-04-29 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2005-03-01 | Lost |
1067 | 1133 | 41% | 2003-12-06 | Lost |
970 | 1097 | 32% | 2001-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1019.9 vs 1101 has a 38.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).