Ils Ne Passeront Pas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (12 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 56
Defender wins (German): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 1192 | 21% | 2020-07-12 | Lost |
| 982 | 921 | 59% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1099 | 45% | 2013-04-22 | Lost |
| 978 | 1162 | 26% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2010-05-27 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1100 | 38% | 2005-04-29 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2005-03-01 | Lost |
| 1107 | 999 | 65% | 2004-01-02 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1115 | 43% | 2003-12-06 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1082 | 60% | 2001-06-02 | Won |
| 1125 | 1100 | 54% | 2001-04-01 | Won |
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2001-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1064.8 vs 1077.8 has a 48.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).