Upham's Bar
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (6 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 6
Defender wins (Italian / German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 891 | 964 | 40% | 2024-08-02 | Won |
| 739 | 1220 | 6% | 2020-07-13 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1067 | 65% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 1030 | 994 | 55% | 2001-06-10 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1342 | 13% | 2000-12-14 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1077 | 54% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 990.8 vs 1110.7 has a 33.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).