Burn Gurkha Burn!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (Japanese): 13
Defender wins (Gurkha): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 1098 | 34% | 2025-08-15 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1043 | 46% | 2024-05-16 | Won |
| 938 | 1193 | 19% | 2024-04-25 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1037 | 62% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 1321 | 1075 | 80% | 2021-10-24 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1143 | 32% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
| 1059 | 1107 | 43% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 925 | 1158 | 21% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
| 1074 | 1114 | 44% | 2017-10-20 | Won |
| 1067 | 968 | 64% | 2015-05-02 | Lost |
| 999 | 1060 | 41% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 998 | 1026 | 46% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1010 | 68% | 2013-08-09 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1058 | 51% | 2013-02-25 | Lost |
| 982 | 937 | 56% | 2011-01-29 | Won |
| 969 | 1039 | 40% | 2007-12-30 | Won |
| 951 | 967 | 48% | 2007-11-09 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1152 | 36% | 2007-11-02 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1152 | 48% | 2007-10-03 | Won |
| 1043 | 1072 | 46% | 2007-06-07 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1043 | 54% | 2007-06-06 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1105 | 39% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1273 | 29% | 2007-01-26 | Won |
| 1039 | 1123 | 38% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-07 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-01 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1058 | 65% | 2004-06-06 | Lost |
| 882 | 905 | 47% | 2004-03-27 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1115 | 51% | 2004-03-06 | Won |
| 1134 | 1213 | 39% | 2003-12-24 | Won |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2003-03-28 | Won |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1065.8 vs 1065.1 has a 50.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).