Burn Gurkha Burn!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (Japanese): 15
Defender wins (Gurkha): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 1042 | 37% | 2025-08-15 | Lost |
| 1016 | 939 | 61% | 2024-05-16 | Won |
| 987 | 1099 | 34% | 2024-04-25 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1060 | 61% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 1311 | 1111 | 76% | 2021-10-24 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1084 | 41% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
| 1263 | 1186 | 61% | 2020-10-17 | Won |
| 1042 | 1120 | 39% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1032 | 1158 | 33% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
| 1063 | 1136 | 40% | 2017-10-20 | Won |
| 1071 | 968 | 64% | 2015-05-02 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2013-12-05 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1146 | 31% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 965 | 1012 | 43% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1021 | 59% | 2013-08-09 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1059 | 52% | 2013-02-25 | Lost |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-01-29 | Won |
| 1263 | 1244 | 53% | 2009-06-29 | Won |
| 970 | 1074 | 35% | 2007-12-30 | Won |
| 951 | 1156 | 24% | 2007-11-09 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1141 | 39% | 2007-11-02 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1214 | 57% | 2007-10-04 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1141 | 49% | 2007-10-03 | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2007-06-07 | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2007-06-06 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1056 | 47% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1259 | 31% | 2007-01-26 | Won |
| 1074 | 1122 | 43% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-07 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-01 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1031 | 68% | 2004-06-06 | Lost |
| 883 | 1030 | 30% | 2004-03-27 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1119 | 51% | 2004-03-06 | Won |
| 1162 | 1102 | 59% | 2003-12-24 | Won |
| 1141 | 777 | 89% | 2003-03-28 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1085.3 vs 1078.5 has a 50.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).