Burn Gurkha Burn!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (Japanese): 15
Defender wins (Gurkha): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1072 | 35% | 2025-08-15 | Lost |
| 1059 | 973 | 62% | 2024-05-16 | Won |
| 931 | 1102 | 27% | 2024-04-25 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1054 | 62% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 1307 | 1095 | 77% | 2021-10-24 | Lost |
| 973 | 1125 | 29% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
| 1249 | 1187 | 59% | 2020-10-17 | Won |
| 1052 | 1123 | 40% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1040 | 1158 | 34% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
| 1045 | 1157 | 34% | 2017-10-20 | Won |
| 1071 | 969 | 64% | 2015-05-02 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2013-12-05 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 903 | 1013 | 35% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1125 | 973 | 71% | 2013-08-09 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1059 | 52% | 2013-02-25 | Lost |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-01-29 | Won |
| 1249 | 1243 | 51% | 2009-06-29 | Won |
| 969 | 1068 | 36% | 2007-12-30 | Won |
| 951 | 1056 | 35% | 2007-11-09 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1140 | 39% | 2007-11-02 | Lost |
| 1249 | 1223 | 54% | 2007-10-04 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1140 | 49% | 2007-10-03 | Won |
| 973 | 1094 | 33% | 2007-06-07 | Lost |
| 1094 | 973 | 67% | 2007-06-06 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1111 | 39% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1259 | 39% | 2007-01-26 | Won |
| 1068 | 1123 | 42% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-07 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-01 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1095 | 60% | 2004-06-06 | Lost |
| 883 | 971 | 38% | 2004-03-27 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1180 | 43% | 2004-03-06 | Won |
| 1158 | 1177 | 47% | 2003-12-24 | Won |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2003-03-28 | Won |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1082.6 vs 1079.8 has a 50.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).