Burn Gurkha Burn!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (Japanese): 15
Defender wins (Gurkha): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1052 | 38% | 2025-08-15 | Lost |
| 1040 | 968 | 60% | 2024-05-16 | Won |
| 1009 | 1063 | 42% | 2024-04-25 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1003 | 68% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 1306 | 1095 | 77% | 2021-10-24 | Lost |
| 930 | 1131 | 24% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
| 1263 | 1186 | 61% | 2020-10-17 | Won |
| 1052 | 1120 | 40% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1040 | 1158 | 34% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
| 974 | 1159 | 26% | 2017-10-20 | Won |
| 1071 | 968 | 64% | 2015-05-02 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1062 | 51% | 2013-12-05 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1135 | 33% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 884 | 1013 | 32% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1131 | 930 | 76% | 2013-08-09 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1060 | 52% | 2013-02-25 | Lost |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-01-29 | Won |
| 1263 | 1244 | 53% | 2009-06-29 | Won |
| 970 | 1060 | 37% | 2007-12-30 | Won |
| 951 | 941 | 51% | 2007-11-09 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1141 | 39% | 2007-11-02 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1214 | 57% | 2007-10-04 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1141 | 49% | 2007-10-03 | Won |
| 968 | 1085 | 34% | 2007-06-07 | Lost |
| 1085 | 968 | 66% | 2007-06-06 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1097 | 41% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1259 | 36% | 2007-01-26 | Won |
| 1060 | 1123 | 41% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-07 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-01 | Lost |
| 1165 | 967 | 76% | 2004-06-06 | Lost |
| 883 | 1015 | 32% | 2004-03-27 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1159 | 46% | 2004-03-06 | Won |
| 1166 | 1170 | 49% | 2003-12-24 | Won |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2003-03-28 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1079.1 vs 1068.2 has a 51.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).