Burn Gurkha Burn!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (Japanese): 10
Defender wins (Gurkha): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 1094 | 37% | 2024-05-16 | Won |
| 910 | 1219 | 14% | 2024-04-25 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1036 | 62% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 1307 | 1087 | 78% | 2021-10-24 | Lost |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
| 1060 | 1110 | 43% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 925 | 1158 | 21% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
| 1089 | 1151 | 41% | 2017-10-20 | Won |
| 1066 | 1052 | 52% | 2015-05-02 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 952 | 1035 | 38% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2013-08-09 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1058 | 51% | 2013-02-25 | Lost |
| 982 | 938 | 56% | 2011-01-29 | Won |
| 951 | 949 | 50% | 2007-11-09 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2007-06-07 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1094 | 41% | 2007-06-06 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1081 | 43% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1272 | 31% | 2007-01-26 | Won |
| 1228 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-07 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-11-01 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1116 | 57% | 2004-06-06 | Lost |
| 949 | 920 | 54% | 2004-03-27 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1136 | 47% | 2004-03-06 | Won |
| 1121 | 1248 | 32% | 2003-12-24 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1066.7 vs 1080.5 has a 48.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).