Pesky Pachyderms
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (9 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Russian): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2023-10-18 | Lost |
| 1028 | 942 | 62% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1044 | 1139 | 37% | 2021-03-11 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1120 | 36% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 1006 | 1185 | 26% | 2007-05-27 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1051 | 45% | 2007-05-27 | Won |
| 1127 | 1105 | 53% | 2006-04-17 | Won |
| 1039 | 1049 | 49% | 2006-01-13 | Won |
| 1208 | 1139 | 60% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1063.1 vs 1079.1 has a 47.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).