Pesky Pachyderms
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (10 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1044 | 48% | 2025-12-05 | Won |
| 1009 | 1055 | 43% | 2023-10-18 | Lost |
| 1019 | 966 | 58% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1047 | 1196 | 30% | 2021-03-11 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1116 | 38% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 1047 | 1206 | 29% | 2007-05-27 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1010 | 54% | 2007-05-27 | Won |
| 1174 | 1105 | 60% | 2006-04-17 | Won |
| 1054 | 948 | 65% | 2006-01-13 | Won |
| 1208 | 1091 | 66% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1065.2 vs 1073.7 has a 48.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).