Vulcan's Forge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1028 | 56% | 2020-06-25 | Lost |
| 1019 | 989 | 54% | 2019-04-22 | Lost |
| 1216 | 932 | 84% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 927 | 894 | 55% | 2015-06-18 | Won |
| 1125 | 1340 | 22% | 2009-02-17 | Lost |
| 933 | 1054 | 33% | 2006-10-21 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1067 | 48% | 2006-04-10 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-06-23 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2005-06-13 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1060.1 vs 1055.4 has a 50.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).