Vulcan's Forge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1034 | 1046 | 48% | 2020-06-25 | Lost |
| 1063 | 989 | 60% | 2019-04-22 | Lost |
| 1217 | 932 | 84% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 910 | 902 | 51% | 2015-06-18 | Won |
| 996 | 1283 | 16% | 2015-05-22 | Won |
| 1123 | 1253 | 32% | 2009-02-17 | Lost |
| 933 | 1055 | 33% | 2006-10-21 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1081 | 46% | 2006-04-10 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2005-06-23 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2005-06-13 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1052.5 vs 1073.7 has a 46.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).