Entre le Marteau et l'Enclume
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (21 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 46
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2026-07-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2024-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2023-08-23 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2023-05-19 | | Won |
| 876 | 1109 | 21% | 2018-01-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2017-09-03 | | Lost |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2016-09-13 | | Won |
| 953 | 1086 | 32% | 2015-07-14 | | Won |
| 930 | 979 | 43% | 2015-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2015-02-28 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1134 | 30% | 2013-11-23 | | Won |
| 976 | 1071 | 37% | 2012-08-13 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2010-08-07 | | Won |
| 896 | 1000 | 35% | 2010-02-12 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2009-07-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2007-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 832 | 72% | 2006-10-01 | | Won |
| 1003 | 1031 | 46% | 2003-10-23 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2002-07-12 | | Won |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2001-09-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 827 | 73% | 2001-01-20 | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 983.4 vs 1051.5 has a 40.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).