Entre le Marteau et l'Enclume
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1009 | 53% | 2024-05-01 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2023-08-23 | Lost |
| 1052 | 958 | 63% | 2023-05-19 | Won |
| 876 | 1080 | 24% | 2018-01-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-09-03 | Lost |
| 879 | 1016 | 31% | 2016-09-13 | Won |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2015-07-14 | Won |
| 930 | 1043 | 34% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1003 | 74% | 2015-02-28 | Lost |
| 983 | 1188 | 24% | 2013-11-23 | Won |
| 975 | 1067 | 37% | 2012-08-13 | Won |
| 1125 | 1025 | 64% | 2010-08-07 | Won |
| 919 | 976 | 42% | 2010-02-12 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2009-07-06 | Won |
| 1018 | 1147 | 32% | 2007-07-01 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-10-01 | Won |
| 1004 | 1048 | 44% | 2003-10-23 | Won |
| 713 | 1151 | 7% | 2002-07-12 | Won |
| 1050 | 914 | 69% | 2001-09-02 | Won |
| 844 | 827 | 52% | 2001-01-20 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 990 vs 1046.1 has a 42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).