Entre le Marteau et l'Enclume
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1040 | 46% | 2024-05-01 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-08-23 | Lost |
| 1074 | 886 | 75% | 2023-05-19 | Won |
| 876 | 1118 | 20% | 2018-01-22 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-09-03 | Lost |
| 879 | 1016 | 31% | 2016-09-13 | Won |
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2015-07-14 | Won |
| 939 | 905 | 55% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1037 | 70% | 2015-02-28 | Lost |
| 983 | 1193 | 23% | 2013-11-23 | Won |
| 975 | 1067 | 37% | 2012-08-13 | Won |
| 1125 | 1025 | 64% | 2010-08-07 | Won |
| 920 | 976 | 42% | 2010-02-12 | Won |
| 1111 | 1313 | 24% | 2009-07-06 | Won |
| 1018 | 1146 | 32% | 2007-07-01 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-10-01 | Won |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2002-07-12 | Won |
| 1062 | 914 | 70% | 2001-09-02 | Won |
| 844 | 827 | 52% | 2001-01-20 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 988.7 vs 1038.5 has a 42.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).