Entre le Marteau et l'Enclume
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 930 | 960 | 46% | 2024-05-01 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2023-08-23 | Lost |
| 974 | 988 | 48% | 2023-05-19 | Won |
| 876 | 1040 | 28% | 2018-01-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-09-03 | Lost |
| 879 | 1014 | 31% | 2016-09-13 | Won |
| 967 | 1077 | 35% | 2015-07-14 | Won |
| 930 | 1015 | 38% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1003 | 74% | 2015-02-28 | Lost |
| 982 | 1063 | 39% | 2013-11-23 | Won |
| 976 | 1071 | 37% | 2012-08-13 | Won |
| 1126 | 1025 | 64% | 2010-08-07 | Won |
| 920 | 976 | 42% | 2010-02-12 | Won |
| 1174 | 1234 | 41% | 2009-07-06 | Won |
| 1018 | 1208 | 25% | 2007-07-01 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-10-01 | Won |
| 1003 | 1062 | 42% | 2003-10-23 | Won |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2002-07-12 | Won |
| 998 | 913 | 62% | 2001-09-02 | Won |
| 844 | 827 | 52% | 2001-01-20 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 982.1 vs 1036.1 has a 42.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).