May Day!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (5 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 13
Defender wins (German (SS)): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2023-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1078 | 1000 | 61% | 2023-04-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2013-10-18 | | Won |
| 959 | 1000 | 44% | 2012-03-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1021 | 47% | 2009-04-30 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1007.4 vs 1037.6 has a 45.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).