May Day!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (5 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 13
Defender wins (German (SS)): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1153 | 1095 | 58% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1245 | 21% | 2023-04-26 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1015 | 56% | 2013-10-18 | Won |
| 959 | 1102 | 31% | 2012-03-24 | Won |
| 999 | 996 | 50% | 2009-04-30 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1037.8 vs 1090.6 has a 42.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).