May Day!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (4 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 12
Defender wins (German (SS)): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 1099 | 49% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1108 | 39% | 2023-04-26 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1011 | 57% | 2013-10-18 | Won |
| 1000 | 907 | 63% | 2009-04-30 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1044.5 vs 1031.3 has a 51.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).