Brasche Encounter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (28 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 39
Defender wins (French): 60
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1031 | 50% | 2026-04-04 | Won |
| 1038 | 930 | 65% | 2025-01-16 | Won |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1202 | 28% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1080 | 951 | 68% | 2023-07-18 | Won |
| 963 | 950 | 52% | 2023-06-29 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1040 | 54% | 2023-04-27 | Lost |
| 841 | 1040 | 24% | 2023-01-25 | Lost |
| 972 | 1218 | 20% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 925 | 1218 | 16% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2020-04-08 | Lost |
| 1030 | 999 | 54% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1069 | 1036 | 55% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1036 | 933 | 64% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1051 | 54% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 1239 | 1127 | 66% | 2016-12-01 | Tied |
| 1071 | 970 | 64% | 2013-11-21 | Won |
| 962 | 1243 | 17% | 2013-08-10 | Won |
| 1043 | 1178 | 31% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2010-04-05 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1031 | 57% | 2008-08-20 | Lost |
| 1150 | 905 | 80% | 2008-01-25 | Won |
| 1156 | 1150 | 51% | 2008-01-21 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1140 | 38% | 2005-10-01 | Lost |
| 907 | 1052 | 30% | 2004-05-02 | Lost |
| 924 | 907 | 52% | 2004-03-31 | Lost |
| 1140 | 990 | 70% | 2003-10-05 | Lost |
| 986 | 1127 | 31% | 1998-10-24 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1040 vs 1057.1 has a 47.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).