Brasche Encounter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (French): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1072 | 925 | 70% | 2025-01-16 | Won |
| 999 | 1011 | 48% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1069 | 945 | 67% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1025 | 951 | 60% | 2023-07-18 | Won |
| 963 | 951 | 52% | 2023-06-29 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1069 | 49% | 2023-04-27 | Lost |
| 861 | 1032 | 27% | 2023-01-25 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1233 | 24% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 925 | 1233 | 15% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2020-04-08 | Lost |
| 1083 | 950 | 68% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1218 | 1041 | 73% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1035 | 913 | 67% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1068 | 51% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 1309 | 1121 | 75% | 2016-12-01 | Tied |
| 1066 | 975 | 63% | 2013-11-21 | Won |
| 963 | 1141 | 26% | 2013-08-10 | Won |
| 1039 | 1061 | 47% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1010 | 53% | 2010-04-05 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1036 | 48% | 2008-08-20 | Lost |
| 1113 | 901 | 77% | 2008-01-25 | Won |
| 929 | 1061 | 32% | 2004-05-02 | Lost |
| 924 | 929 | 49% | 2004-03-31 | Lost |
| 978 | 1153 | 27% | 1998-10-24 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1037.8 vs 1034.9 has a 50.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).