A Hotly Contested Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (17 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 34
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1160 | 41% | 2021-04-20 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1047 | 65% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
| 992 | 1064 | 40% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1121 | 50% | 2018-06-14 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1206 | 48% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1191 | 52% | 2016-09-25 | Tied |
| 1052 | 1131 | 39% | 2015-07-19 | Lost |
| 982 | 1131 | 30% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
| 982 | 1059 | 39% | 2013-07-18 | Lost |
| 1131 | 982 | 70% | 2012-06-25 | Won |
| 1015 | 999 | 52% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1043 | 74% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 977 | 1121 | 30% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1019 | 60% | 2011-03-23 | Won |
| 1092 | 1060 | 55% | 2009-04-26 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1023 | 63% | 2004-10-16 | Lost |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 2003-04-30 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1091.9 vs 1063.8 has a 54.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).