A Hotly Contested Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (17 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 34
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1104 | 1115 | 48% | 2021-04-20 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1009 | 70% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
| 961 | 1181 | 22% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1163 | 44% | 2018-06-14 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1268 | 34% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1268 | 1151 | 66% | 2016-09-25 | Tied |
| 1098 | 1143 | 44% | 2015-07-19 | Lost |
| 949 | 1143 | 25% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
| 982 | 1057 | 39% | 2013-07-18 | Lost |
| 1143 | 949 | 75% | 2012-06-25 | Won |
| 932 | 999 | 40% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1047 | 74% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 978 | 1163 | 26% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1020 | 59% | 2011-03-23 | Won |
| 1091 | 1050 | 56% | 2009-04-26 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1064 | 57% | 2004-10-16 | Lost |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2003-04-30 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1089.1 vs 1072.6 has a 52.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).