Operation Schwarz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (9 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Croatian): 26
Defender wins (NOVJ): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 953 | 52% | 2024-05-19 | Won |
| 1067 | 1153 | 38% | 2014-05-24 | Won |
| 1065 | 1016 | 57% | 2010-01-31 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1123 | 39% | 2007-03-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2006-12-19 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2006-12-19 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-12-12 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1152 | 41% | 2006-09-21 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1015 | 54% | 2006-09-16 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1063.6 vs 1078.6 has a 47.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).