Prussia in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (11 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 34
Defender wins (German): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 780 | 1176 | 9% | 2024-09-13 | Lost |
| 963 | 1042 | 39% | 2024-04-14 | Won |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2021-03-06 | Won |
| 1095 | 1024 | 60% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 959 | 880 | 61% | 2020-09-20 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1129 | 52% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2007-02-06 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2007-02-06 | Lost |
| 920 | 1101 | 26% | 2007-01-20 | Won |
| 1140 | 1132 | 51% | 2006-11-26 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1232 | 26% | 2006-10-28 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1018.7 vs 1079.5 has a 41.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).