The Abbeville Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (French): 13
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1125 | 1077 | 57% | 2026-02-06 | Won |
| 1076 | 944 | 68% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1254 | 62% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 916 | 1077 | 28% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 978 | 978 | 50% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 1069 | 994 | 61% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 965 | 876 | 63% | 2019-06-15 | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2018-09-19 | Lost |
| 862 | 1219 | 11% | 2018-09-07 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1076 | 71% | 2018-02-08 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1216 | 35% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1263 | 23% | 2016-06-19 | Won |
| 1006 | 1244 | 20% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1055 | 960 | 63% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
| 964 | 984 | 47% | 2014-08-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1044 | 55% | 2013-05-12 | Lost |
| 995 | 982 | 52% | 2012-10-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1079 | 57% | 2012-01-01 | Won |
| 959 | 1099 | 31% | 2011-11-26 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1146 | 47% | 2011-06-29 | Won |
| 1073 | 1335 | 18% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1015 | 53% | 2010-06-24 | Lost |
| 1109 | 980 | 68% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1073 | 1006 | 60% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1006 | 994 | 52% | 2009-02-28 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2009-02-08 | Won |
| 925 | 1174 | 19% | 2006-10-20 | Lost |
| 953 | 1060 | 35% | 2006-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1055.9 vs 1075.7 has a 47.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).