The Abbeville Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (French): 9
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1248 | 968 | 83% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 913 | 1036 | 33% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1009 | 52% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 970 | 1005 | 45% | 2019-06-15 | Won |
| 1310 | 1109 | 76% | 2018-09-19 | Lost |
| 917 | 1310 | 9% | 2018-09-07 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1248 | 24% | 2018-02-08 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1219 | 34% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 920 | 1243 | 13% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1054 | 963 | 63% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
| 1044 | 984 | 59% | 2014-08-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1084 | 43% | 2013-05-12 | Lost |
| 995 | 982 | 52% | 2012-10-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1079 | 57% | 2012-01-01 | Won |
| 967 | 1043 | 39% | 2011-11-26 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1058 | 57% | 2011-06-29 | Won |
| 1140 | 1334 | 25% | 2010-07-24 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1010 | 57% | 2010-06-24 | Lost |
| 1136 | 935 | 76% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
| 1068 | 920 | 70% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1031 | 1094 | 41% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 920 | 1005 | 38% | 2009-02-28 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1067 | 57% | 2009-02-08 | Won |
| 931 | 1189 | 18% | 2006-10-20 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1045.9 vs 1078.2 has a 45.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).