Last Orders
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 969 | 46% | 2026-03-07 | Lost |
| 986 | 1042 | 42% | 2024-11-24 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1264 | 33% | 2018-01-27 | Won |
| 982 | 1059 | 39% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 919 | 898 | 53% | 2016-08-21 | Won |
| 993 | 1252 | 18% | 2015-11-18 | Lost |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2013-01-13 | Won |
| 1015 | 1073 | 42% | 2009-05-19 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 989.1 vs 1067.4 has a 38.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).