Big, Bad, Gun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (11 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 40
Defender wins (Italian): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 1313 | 11% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 987 | 1146 | 29% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2011-07-16 | Won |
| 1044 | 1115 | 40% | 2009-09-25 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1117 | 55% | 2008-09-19 | Won |
| 996 | 967 | 54% | 2008-04-25 | Lost |
| 986 | 1157 | 27% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
| 1413 | 1147 | 82% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1313 | 23% | 2007-09-08 | Won |
| 1413 | 982 | 92% | 2007-03-31 | Won |
| 1313 | 917 | 91% | 2007-02-23 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1120.2 vs 1103.9 has a 52.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).