Big, Bad, Gun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (13 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 41
Defender wins (Italian): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2026-06-04 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1219 | 17% | 2020-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2014-03-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2011-07-16 | | Won |
| 1057 | 1096 | 44% | 2009-09-25 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2008-09-19 | | Won |
| 996 | 1156 | 28% | 2008-04-25 | | Lost |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2007-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1435 | 1000 | 92% | 2007-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1219 | 29% | 2007-09-08 | | Won |
| 1435 | 973 | 93% | 2007-03-31 | | Won |
| 1219 | 862 | 89% | 2007-02-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2007-01-27 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1098.2 vs 1064.2 has a 54.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).