Big, Bad, Gun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (13 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 41
Defender wins (Italian): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 1060 | 50% | 2026-06-04 | Lost |
| 948 | 1231 | 16% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 987 | 1208 | 22% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2011-07-16 | Won |
| 1060 | 1127 | 40% | 2009-09-25 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1116 | 53% | 2008-09-19 | Won |
| 996 | 1023 | 46% | 2008-04-25 | Lost |
| 982 | 1157 | 27% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
| 1434 | 1160 | 83% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1231 | 28% | 2007-09-08 | Won |
| 1434 | 973 | 93% | 2007-03-31 | Won |
| 1231 | 862 | 89% | 2007-02-23 | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1100.2 vs 1097.3 has a 50.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).