Big, Bad, Gun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (11 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 40
Defender wins (Italian): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 1274 | 13% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 987 | 1176 | 25% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
| 966 | 966 | 50% | 2011-07-16 | Won |
| 1060 | 1180 | 33% | 2009-09-25 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1116 | 53% | 2008-09-19 | Won |
| 996 | 1056 | 41% | 2008-04-25 | Lost |
| 982 | 1155 | 27% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
| 1420 | 1129 | 84% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1274 | 24% | 2007-09-08 | Won |
| 1420 | 982 | 93% | 2007-03-31 | Won |
| 1274 | 917 | 89% | 2007-02-23 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1115 vs 1111.4 has a 50.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).