Village of the Damned
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 211 (60 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 100
Defender wins (Italian / German): 111
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 948 | 59% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1142 | 1096 | 57% | 2024-03-30 | Won |
| 1018 | 1055 | 45% | 2024-03-25 | Won |
| 937 | 971 | 45% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
| 1003 | 1136 | 32% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 996 | 1040 | 44% | 2021-10-14 | Lost |
| 934 | 1009 | 39% | 2021-09-12 | Won |
| 1248 | 1147 | 64% | 2021-03-27 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1248 | 38% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1264 | 28% | 2020-11-01 | Lost |
| 1257 | 1164 | 63% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 960 | 1003 | 44% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1257 | 749 | 95% | 2020-10-02 | Won |
| 1219 | 907 | 86% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 1027 | 1009 | 53% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1152 | 39% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1012 | 50% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
| 984 | 951 | 55% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1257 | 949 | 85% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1018 | 48% | 2020-02-10 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1285 | 17% | 2019-10-11 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1044 | 50% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1157 | 35% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 881 | 1046 | 28% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-04-22 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2018-04-09 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1065 | 51% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1093 | 999 | 63% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 1005 | 973 | 55% | 2015-12-05 | Won |
| 913 | 1038 | 33% | 2015-03-23 | Won |
| 1005 | 973 | 55% | 2014-09-20 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1219 | 25% | 2014-06-13 | Lost |
| 982 | 907 | 61% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 984 | 1044 | 41% | 2012-09-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1110 | 35% | 2012-08-12 | Lost |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-06-01 | Lost |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-06-01 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1055 | 69% | 2012-02-28 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1228 | 26% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 920 | 1008 | 38% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1132 | 32% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1018 | 63% | 2011-06-22 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1132 | 32% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1228 | 32% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1013 | 50% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1058 | 42% | 2010-10-01 | Lost |
| 1003 | 996 | 51% | 2009-12-20 | Won |
| 1089 | 1008 | 61% | 2009-12-04 | Lost |
| 987 | 882 | 65% | 2009-05-22 | Won |
| 878 | 1140 | 18% | 2009-02-05 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2008-04-03 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-02-19 | Won |
| 1031 | 1134 | 36% | 2007-11-11 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2007-11-06 | Lost |
| 920 | 1180 | 18% | 2007-10-26 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1081 | 44% | 2007-10-03 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2007-09-05 | Lost |
| 949 | 955 | 49% | 2007-08-10 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1117 | 38% | | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1041.7 vs 1056.8 has a 47.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).