Village of the Damned
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 217 (66 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 100
Defender wins (Italian / German): 117
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 1068 | 48% | 2025-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2024-10-21 | | Lost |
| 997 | 949 | 57% | 2024-10-10 | | Won |
| 1142 | 1000 | 69% | 2024-03-30 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1019 | 50% | 2024-03-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 971 | 54% | 2022-08-21 | | Won |
| 1030 | 1156 | 33% | 2022-06-04 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1016 | 52% | 2021-10-14 | | Lost |
| 932 | 1040 | 35% | 2021-09-12 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2021-03-27 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1133 | 25% | 2020-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1170 | 27% | 2020-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1267 | 1000 | 82% | 2020-10-27 | | Won |
| 970 | 1039 | 40% | 2020-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1267 | 729 | 96% | 2020-10-02 | | Won |
| 1218 | 870 | 88% | 2020-07-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2020-07-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2020-07-07 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-07-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2020-06-10 | | Won |
| 1267 | 1126 | 69% | 2020-05-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2020-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2020-02-10 | | Lost |
| 997 | 1348 | 12% | 2019-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-07-19 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1133 | 40% | 2019-07-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2019-01-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2018-04-22 | | Lost |
| 1202 | 1000 | 76% | 2018-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1077 | 50% | 2017-10-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 999 | 50% | 2016-10-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2015-12-05 | | Won |
| 876 | 1038 | 28% | 2015-03-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2014-09-20 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2014-06-13 | | Won |
| 1033 | 1134 | 36% | 2014-06-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2012-09-05 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1120 | 35% | 2012-08-12 | | Lost |
| 880 | 1000 | 33% | 2012-06-01 | | Lost |
| 880 | 1000 | 33% | 2012-06-01 | | Lost |
| 966 | 959 | 51% | 2012-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 1233 | 25% | 2011-06-26 | | Won |
| 979 | 1008 | 46% | 2011-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2011-06-24 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1019 | 40% | 2011-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2011-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2011-05-15 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1233 | 32% | 2011-05-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2010-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2009-12-20 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2009-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 881 | 66% | 2009-05-22 | | Won |
| 876 | 1109 | 21% | 2009-02-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2008-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1134 | 64% | 2008-04-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2008-02-19 | | Won |
| 1183 | 1136 | 57% | 2007-11-11 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2007-11-06 | | Lost |
| 979 | 1000 | 47% | 2007-10-26 | | Lost |
| 1068 | 1000 | 60% | 2007-10-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2007-09-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2007-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1054 | 42% | 2007-08-26 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2007-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1086 | 40% | | | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1032.7 vs 1051.5 has a 47.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).