Ride Across the Caucasus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German / Slovakian): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 995 | 56% | 2024-11-02 | Won |
| 1008 | 1147 | 31% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1042 | 1057 | 48% | 2020-08-28 | Won |
| 1179 | 1136 | 56% | 2018-05-30 | Won |
| 1018 | 1190 | 27% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 1245 | 956 | 84% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
| 952 | 1110 | 29% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 956 | 1055 | 36% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
| 1031 | 969 | 59% | 2007-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1050.5 vs 1065.3 has a 47.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).