Ride Across the Caucasus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (9 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Slovakian): 24
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2024-11-02 | | Won |
| 981 | 1141 | 28% | 2024-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2021-06-20 | | Won |
| 1025 | 1057 | 45% | 2020-08-28 | | Won |
| 1178 | 1132 | 57% | 2018-05-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1206 | 23% | 2014-02-16 | | Lost |
| 957 | 1136 | 26% | 2010-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1154 | 1055 | 64% | 2008-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 968 | 66% | 2007-10-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1045.9 vs 1079.3 has a 45.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).