Ride Across the Caucasus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German / Slovakian): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1069 | 45% | 2024-11-02 | Won |
| 913 | 1145 | 21% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1060 | 1038 | 53% | 2020-08-28 | Won |
| 1017 | 1141 | 33% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1061 | 70% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1136 | 32% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 999 | 1026 | 46% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1052 | 47% | 2007-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1033.8 vs 1078.3 has a 43.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).