Ride Across the Caucasus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (9 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Slovakian): 24
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2024-11-02 | | Won |
| 951 | 1138 | 25% | 2024-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2021-06-20 | | Won |
| 1023 | 1057 | 45% | 2020-08-28 | | Won |
| 1178 | 1132 | 57% | 2018-05-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2014-02-16 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1126 | 28% | 2010-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1055 | 64% | 2008-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1095 | 968 | 68% | 2007-10-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1045.2 vs 1075.2 has a 45.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).