Elephants Unleashed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 171 (37 on the archive and 134 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 85
Defender wins (Russian): 86
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1166 | 1166 | 50% | 2025-12-02 | Won |
| 984 | 1016 | 45% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1068 | 47% | 2024-09-01 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1013 | 74% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 984 | 1158 | 27% | 2021-07-08 | Lost |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2021-05-01 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1151 | 53% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1151 | 53% | 2020-10-31 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1002 | 55% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 980 | 953 | 54% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2020-02-03 | Won |
| 1010 | 1102 | 37% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1114 | 1123 | 49% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 1019 | 1047 | 46% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1149 | 33% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 968 | 1340 | 11% | 2014-05-24 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1144 | 42% | 2014-04-10 | Lost |
| 1029 | 950 | 61% | 2014-01-17 | Won |
| 1226 | 1046 | 74% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
| 1099 | 1106 | 49% | 2012-08-12 | Won |
| 1152 | 1067 | 62% | 2012-06-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 984 | 55% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 1010 | 1148 | 31% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1174 | 58% | 2010-03-06 | Lost |
| 1084 | 998 | 62% | 2010-01-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 1039 | 953 | 62% | 2009-09-25 | Won |
| 1206 | 982 | 78% | 2009-09-23 | Lost |
| 992 | 1419 | 8% | 2009-09-11 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1039 | 72% | 2009-06-23 | Won |
| 889 | 1020 | 32% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1340 | 968 | 89% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
| 1286 | 1340 | 42% | 2008-07-10 | Won |
| 1100 | 969 | 68% | 2008-04-04 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-03-08 | Won |
| 1126 | 1206 | 39% | 2007-10-23 | Won |
| 948 | 1151 | 24% | 2007-09-30 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1086.7 vs 1091.7 has a 49.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).