Elephants Unleashed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 184 (40 on the archive and 144 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 92
Defender wins (Russian): 92
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1201 | 996 | 76% | 2026-05-30 | | Won |
| 1021 | 1186 | 28% | 2026-05-29 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 953 | 86% | 2026-02-06 | | Won |
| 984 | 1016 | 45% | 2025-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1051 | 47% | 2024-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1051 | 61% | 2022-01-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2021-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2021-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2020-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2020-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2020-10-22 | | Won |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2020-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1178 | 43% | 2020-02-03 | | Won |
| 1078 | 1000 | 61% | 2019-02-09 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1085 | 57% | 2017-12-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2017-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2016-10-05 | | Won |
| 969 | 1219 | 19% | 2014-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1202 | 24% | 2014-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2014-01-17 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2013-06-29 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1108 | 49% | 2012-08-12 | | Won |
| 1180 | 1071 | 65% | 2012-06-11 | | Won |
| 1019 | 984 | 55% | 2010-06-27 | | Won |
| 1078 | 1144 | 41% | 2010-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1121 | 33% | 2010-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2010-01-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2009-12-18 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2009-09-25 | | Won |
| 1201 | 1000 | 76% | 2009-09-23 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1435 | 7% | 2009-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1201 | 1031 | 73% | 2009-06-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1021 | 47% | 2009-03-14 | | Won |
| 1219 | 969 | 81% | 2008-08-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2008-07-10 | | Won |
| 1343 | 995 | 88% | 2008-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 959 | 69% | 2008-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1105 | 1101 | 51% | 2008-03-08 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1201 | 41% | 2007-10-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2007-09-30 | | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1079.7 vs 1072.8 has a 50.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).