Elephants Unleashed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 173 (38 on the archive and 135 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 86
Defender wins (Russian): 87
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1263 | 953 | 86% | 2026-02-06 | Won |
| 984 | 1016 | 45% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1051 | 47% | 2024-09-01 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1068 | 66% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 1047 | 1158 | 35% | 2021-07-08 | Lost |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2021-05-01 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1152 | 53% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1152 | 53% | 2020-10-31 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1002 | 56% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 984 | 1099 | 34% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1179 | 44% | 2020-02-03 | Won |
| 1003 | 1116 | 34% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1113 | 1063 | 57% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 1020 | 998 | 53% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 974 | 1153 | 26% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 970 | 1234 | 18% | 2014-05-24 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1208 | 34% | 2014-04-10 | Lost |
| 974 | 950 | 53% | 2014-01-17 | Won |
| 1226 | 1046 | 74% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
| 1099 | 1107 | 49% | 2012-08-12 | Won |
| 1170 | 1071 | 64% | 2012-06-11 | Won |
| 1019 | 984 | 55% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 1003 | 1146 | 31% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1159 | 61% | 2010-03-06 | Lost |
| 1085 | 968 | 66% | 2010-01-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1099 | 45% | 2009-09-25 | Won |
| 1172 | 982 | 75% | 2009-09-23 | Lost |
| 982 | 1430 | 7% | 2009-09-11 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1062 | 65% | 2009-06-23 | Won |
| 864 | 1015 | 30% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1234 | 970 | 82% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
| 1287 | 1234 | 58% | 2008-07-10 | Won |
| 1343 | 995 | 88% | 2008-06-19 | Lost |
| 1101 | 969 | 68% | 2008-04-04 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1101 | 51% | 2008-03-08 | Won |
| 1167 | 1172 | 49% | 2007-10-23 | Won |
| 948 | 1141 | 25% | 2007-09-30 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1091.4 vs 1083.1 has a 51.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).