ASL Scenario Archive

Elephants Unleashed

Games with no balance used/recorded: 171 (37 on the archive and 134 on ROAR)

Attacker wins (German): 85

Defender wins (Russian): 86

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1283	954	87%	2026-02-06	Won
984	1016	45%	2025-01-11	Lost
1062	1056	51%	2024-09-01	Lost
1191	1063	68%	2022-01-23	Won
972	1158	26%	2021-07-08	Lost
1030	981	57%	2021-05-01	Lost
1173	1152	53%	2020-12-05	Lost
1173	1152	53%	2020-10-31	Lost
1049	1002	57%	2020-10-22	Won
965	980	48%	2020-03-29	Lost
1136	1179	44%	2020-02-03	Won
1045	1103	42%	2019-02-09	Won
1114	1058	58%	2017-12-19	Won
1019	1065	43%	2017-10-06	Lost
1024	1151	32%	2016-10-05	Won
968	1253	16%	2014-05-24	Lost
1092	1186	37%	2014-04-10	Lost
1024	952	60%	2014-01-17	Won
1226	1046	74%	2013-06-29	Won
1098	1107	49%	2012-08-12	Won
1170	1071	64%	2012-06-11	Won
1019	984	55%	2010-06-27	Won
1045	1144	36%	2010-05-01	Lost
1234	1173	59%	2010-03-06	Lost
1105	980	67%	2010-01-07	Lost
1000	1024	47%	2009-12-18	Lost
1068	980	62%	2009-09-25	Won
1255	982	83%	2009-09-23	Lost
992	1423	8%	2009-09-11	Lost
1255	1068	75%	2009-06-23	Won
889	959	40%	2009-03-14	Won
1253	968	84%	2008-08-04	Won
1287	1253	55%	2008-07-10	Won
1101	969	68%	2008-04-04	Lost
1091	1101	49%	2008-03-08	Won
1147	1255	35%	2007-10-23	Won
949	1140	25%	2007-09-30	Won

Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1094.3 vs 1083.5 has a 51.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).