Elephants Unleashed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 166 (34 on the archive and 132 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 82
Defender wins (Russian): 84
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 1016 | 45% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1068 | 52% | 2024-09-01 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1009 | 70% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 1016 | 1158 | 31% | 2021-07-08 | Lost |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2021-05-01 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1149 | 53% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1149 | 53% | 2020-10-31 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1002 | 56% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 994 | 959 | 55% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1172 | 42% | 2020-02-03 | Won |
| 1036 | 1102 | 41% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1079 | 1219 | 31% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 1019 | 1003 | 52% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1066 | 53% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 968 | 1310 | 12% | 2014-05-24 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1141 | 43% | 2014-04-10 | Lost |
| 1089 | 950 | 69% | 2014-01-17 | Won |
| 1223 | 1046 | 73% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
| 1099 | 1113 | 48% | 2012-08-12 | Won |
| 1117 | 1066 | 57% | 2012-06-11 | Won |
| 1018 | 1000 | 53% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 1036 | 1149 | 34% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1136 | 63% | 2010-03-06 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1094 | 41% | 2010-01-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 1189 | 965 | 78% | 2009-09-23 | Lost |
| 993 | 1412 | 8% | 2009-09-11 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1022 | 72% | 2009-06-23 | Won |
| 888 | 920 | 45% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1310 | 968 | 88% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
| 1285 | 1310 | 46% | 2008-07-10 | Won |
| 1098 | 984 | 66% | 2008-04-04 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1098 | 49% | 2008-03-08 | Won |
| 1145 | 1189 | 44% | 2007-10-23 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1090.3 vs 1088.7 has a 50.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).