"Ne Pas Subir"
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (French): 13
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1026 | 983 | 56% | 2025-10-17 | Won |
| 965 | 994 | 46% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 1027 | 989 | 55% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 1081 | 972 | 65% | 2023-06-08 | Won |
| 990 | 980 | 51% | 2022-10-18 | Lost |
| 981 | 1030 | 43% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 1044 | 1045 | 50% | 2019-02-10 | Won |
| 975 | 1226 | 19% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1007 | 55% | 2017-02-05 | Lost |
| 1107 | 942 | 72% | 2016-10-22 | Won |
| 981 | 1217 | 20% | 2016-09-22 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1024 | 56% | 2015-03-20 | Won |
| 1121 | 1045 | 61% | 2014-12-27 | Lost |
| 939 | 1226 | 16% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 928 | 1041 | 34% | 2013-03-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 1089 | 34% | 2012-08-12 | Lost |
| 1200 | 953 | 81% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 1008 | 879 | 68% | 2012-03-19 | Won |
| 1098 | 1125 | 46% | 2011-08-09 | Lost |
| 976 | 959 | 52% | 2010-06-26 | Won |
| 1037 | 1098 | 41% | 2010-05-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1105 | 37% | 2010-01-19 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1159 | 53% | 2009-06-07 | Won |
| 1064 | 992 | 60% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
| 1024 | 930 | 63% | 2008-09-19 | Lost |
| 1180 | 989 | 75% | 2008-08-30 | Won |
| 1023 | 929 | 63% | 2008-07-26 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1024 | 48% | 2008-04-26 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2008-03-03 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1027.6 vs 1037.7 has a 48.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).