"Ne Pas Subir"
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (French): 12
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 994 | 53% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 1027 | 982 | 56% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 1044 | 933 | 65% | 2023-06-08 | Won |
| 975 | 1010 | 45% | 2022-10-18 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 1045 | 1037 | 51% | 2019-02-10 | Won |
| 975 | 1223 | 19% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1037 | 987 | 57% | 2017-02-05 | Lost |
| 1096 | 943 | 71% | 2016-10-22 | Won |
| 982 | 1221 | 20% | 2016-09-22 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1074 | 49% | 2015-03-20 | Won |
| 1120 | 1037 | 62% | 2014-12-27 | Lost |
| 938 | 1223 | 16% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 998 | 1042 | 44% | 2013-03-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 1058 | 38% | 2012-08-12 | Lost |
| 1146 | 972 | 73% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 1002 | 873 | 68% | 2012-03-19 | Won |
| 1060 | 1110 | 43% | 2011-08-09 | Lost |
| 965 | 905 | 59% | 2010-06-26 | Won |
| 1055 | 1106 | 43% | 2010-05-03 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1072 | 41% | 2010-01-19 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1115 | 50% | 2009-06-07 | Won |
| 1062 | 992 | 60% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
| 1074 | 930 | 70% | 2008-09-19 | Lost |
| 1289 | 990 | 85% | 2008-08-30 | Won |
| 967 | 929 | 55% | 2008-07-26 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1074 | 41% | 2008-04-26 | Won |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2008-03-03 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1026.8 vs 1036.3 has a 48.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).