"Ne Pas Subir"
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (French): 12
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 994 | 52% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 1027 | 991 | 55% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 1014 | 981 | 55% | 2023-06-08 | Won |
| 976 | 1005 | 46% | 2022-10-18 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 1047 | 1036 | 52% | 2019-02-10 | Won |
| 975 | 1223 | 19% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1019 | 52% | 2017-02-05 | Lost |
| 1094 | 942 | 71% | 2016-10-22 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2016-09-22 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1089 | 45% | 2015-03-20 | Won |
| 1120 | 1036 | 62% | 2014-12-27 | Lost |
| 939 | 1223 | 16% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 952 | 1041 | 37% | 2013-03-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 1116 | 31% | 2012-08-12 | Lost |
| 1141 | 972 | 73% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 1003 | 889 | 66% | 2012-03-19 | Won |
| 1058 | 1106 | 43% | 2011-08-09 | Lost |
| 965 | 920 | 56% | 2010-06-26 | Won |
| 1051 | 1096 | 44% | 2010-05-03 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1031 | 47% | 2010-01-19 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1136 | 47% | 2009-06-07 | Won |
| 1061 | 991 | 60% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
| 1089 | 930 | 71% | 2008-09-19 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1166 | 64% | 2008-08-30 | Won |
| 949 | 928 | 53% | 2008-07-26 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1089 | 39% | 2008-04-26 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1033.2 vs 1044.4 has a 48.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).