First Trial-By-Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (4 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 6
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1166 | 1221 | 42% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1221 | 49% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1074 | 45% | 2013-05-19 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2007-08-03 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1144.5 vs 1131.5 has a 51.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).