First Trial-By-Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (4 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 5
Defender wins (American): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1192 | 1220 | 46% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1220 | 40% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1051 | 49% | 2013-05-19 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1092 | 65% | 2007-08-03 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1145.5 vs 1145.8 has a 49.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).