Escape from Komsomol Park
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (12 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 907 | 75% | 2026-08-07 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2026-01-06 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2024-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2019-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2016-04-25 | | Won |
| 1028 | 1038 | 49% | 2015-06-20 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2012-10-15 | | Lost |
| 1063 | 956 | 65% | 2009-03-21 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 928 | 80% | 2008-12-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2008-06-01 | | Won |
| 1205 | 1060 | 70% | 2008-05-15 | | Won |
| 1060 | 968 | 63% | 2008-03-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1047.6 vs 1036.3 has a 51.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).