The Ceramic Factory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German (SS)): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1120 | 27% | 2019-03-29 | Lost |
| 984 | 1216 | 21% | 2018-07-31 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-09-21 | Tied |
| 969 | 996 | 46% | 2011-10-05 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1197 | 42% | 2011-01-15 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1212 | 31% | 2010-09-06 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2009-09-17 | Lost |
| 1224 | 1064 | 72% | 2009-07-27 | Tied |
| 613 | 1101 | 6% | 2009-05-30 | Lost |
| 1085 | 987 | 64% | 2008-08-10 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1019.5 vs 1104.5 has a 38.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).