The Ceramic Factory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German (SS)): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 1107 | 33% | 2019-03-29 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1215 | 49% | 2018-07-31 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-09-21 | Tied |
| 1052 | 994 | 58% | 2011-10-05 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1194 | 44% | 2011-01-15 | Lost |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2010-09-06 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2009-09-17 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1100 | 79% | 2009-07-27 | Tied |
| 613 | 1100 | 6% | 2009-05-30 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1041 | 50% | 2008-08-10 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1050.8 vs 1105.9 has a 42.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).