The Ceramic Factory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (12 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (German (SS)): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2019-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2018-07-31 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2013-09-21 | | Tied |
| 1065 | 1000 | 59% | 2011-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2011-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1226 | 24% | 2010-09-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2009-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2009-09-17 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1064 | 71% | 2009-07-27 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2009-05-30 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2008-08-10 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1064.9 vs 1070.2 has a 49.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).